Ukraine’s Wrong Lessons for Taiwan (Part 1)
Instead of playing geopolitical thought exercises on how a war between China and Taiwan would serve interests, it is important to learn the right lessons from the Russo-Ukrainian War and recognize that there are no winners in war, and no losers in peace.
I would like tentatively to share the insights and analysis by Dr. Zheng Wang, the Director of the Center for Peace and Conflict Studies (CPCS) and Professor in the School of Diplomacy and International Relations at Seton Hall University.
In the United States, China, and Taiwan, some policy elites, politicians, and many others have a dream that has been held for quite some time. China’s dream is the reunification of Taiwan. Taiwan dreams of independence. The United States dreams it can weaken or defeat China, its most consequential competitor. All of these parties have realized the difficulty of making these dreams materialize, but a likely option for this to be accomplished would be through a war between China and Taiwan. The war in Ukraine has been watched closely by all the three parties, and it has provided a full simulation and many key lessons for a potential conflict over Taiwan. However, there has been a terrible tendency for each of the three parties to take the wrong lessons from the Russo-Ukrainian War.
To be continued in Part 2.
