プーチンが嵌った落し穴
最近のニュースを見聞きしていると、次の様なキーワードが心に止まった。
ロシア軍撤退、反戦運動が再発、ロシア軍崩壊、兵器不足、指揮系統混乱、予備役召集に着手、ロシア出国便が満席
元々、この戦争はプーチンの自己顕示欲から仕掛けられたものだと筆者は判断しており、ノボロシアやピョートル大帝の様なロシアの領土拡大は、後付けの話であろう。
自己顕示欲が元々の原因なので、誰もが納得する戦争計画等は無いのが当然で、戦況によって目標や目的がころころ変わるのだろう。
上記のキーワードから、ロシア軍は崩壊過程に入っており、これに合わせてプーチン政権も崩壊過程に入ったと思われる。これ以上、戦争を継続したくても、武器の調達は容易でなく、兵は集められず、士気は低下し、国内から非難されるという八方塞がりの状況に陥ってしまったのだろう。
この状況をプーチンは打開する力を持ち合わせていないのだが、打開と破壊を混同してしまうような人物なので、核兵器を使用するのではないかと心配している。
The pit that Putin fell into
While reading or listening to the latest news, the following keywords have been memorized in my mind.
Withdrawal of Russian troops, resurgence of anti-war movements, collapse of the Russian army, lack of weapons, chaos of the chain of command, start of call-up of reserves, fully booked flights out of Russia
Originally, I believe that this war was launched out of Putin's craving for the limelight, and Russia's territorial expansion like Novorossia and Peter the Great was an afterthought.
Since the craving for the limelight is the original cause, it is natural that there is no war plan that everyone can agree on, and I seem that the goals and objectives change depending on the war situation.
Based on the above keywords, the Russian military is in the process of collapsing, and it seems that the Putin regime has entered the process of collapsing along with it. Even if he wanted to continue the war, it was difficult to procure weapons, soldiers could not be recruited, morale was low, and he is criticized domestically. He must have fallen into such a dead end situation.
Putin doesn't have the power to break through this situation, but he's the kind of person who confuses breakthrough with destruction, so I'm afraid he'll use nuclear weapons.
