下面为大家整理一篇优秀的paper代写范文- Risks of international trade,供大家参考学习,这篇论文讨论了国际贸易的风险。国际贸易风险是国际贸易双方因一些不确定因素影响而发生的超出预期的成本开支和意外损失。另外,国际贸易风险复杂多样,动态变化。就单一国际贸易而言,可能存在多种贸易风险,并且每一种风险都有影响力和破坏力。因此,加强国际贸易风险的分析预判,科学采取应对措施,对企业有效规避国际贸易风险有着重大的意义。
Under the background of economic globalization, the trade cooperation between countries is increasingly deepened, and the international trade risks faced by Chinese enterprises become more severe and complex. Without scientific analysis and effective response, the losses caused by the trade risks will be immeasurable. Therefore, a scientific analysis of the risks faced by Chinese enterprises in international trade and the maximum reduction of the losses caused by the risks can create a more favorable growth environment for the production and development of Chinese enterprises. This paper focuses on the analysis of international trade risks and puts forward countermeasures and Suggestions to avoid international trade risks.
At present, with the tide of economic globalization, the trade between countries in the world is closer, and the invisible hand of the market is realizing the optimal allocation of global resources to a greater extent. In recent years, China has adhered to the development strategy of opening up and win-win cooperation. Taking advantage of the "advantage of late development" of developing countries, China has actively tapped its own resource potential and lifted its import and export to a new level. In 1978, China's total foreign trade volume was 20.6 billion us dollars. In 2017, China's total foreign trade volume was 4.1 trillion us dollars. The year-on-year growth was nearly 200 times. At the same time, with the development of international trade, the international trade risks faced by Chinese enterprises have also multiplied, and the challenges brought by trade risks are unprecedented. Therefore, strengthening the analysis and prediction of international trade risks and adopting scientific countermeasures are of great significance for Chinese enterprises to effectively avoid international trade risks. The risk of international trade is the unexpected cost and loss caused by some uncertain factors. The reason lies in that, objectively, international trade exists in a certain time domain and is subject to risks caused by natural environment and other factors, such as risks caused by natural disasters, political environment and economic policies. Subjectively, information asymmetry is the main reason for the risks of both parties in trade. Generally speaking, the importer does not have as much information about the commodities he buys as the exporter does about the commodities he sells. Therefore, the seller can always gain more profits by virtue of information advantages. In addition, trade fraud is also one of the important reasons for the occurrence of international trade risks, because there are many fake elements hidden in the fraud, easy to let the trading party deceived, caused by the loss is often difficult to recover.
International trade risks have the following characteristics: first, objectivity. Risks arise from some uncertain factors existing in the trading process between the two parties. These uncertain factors are objective and independent of people's subjective will, such as natural disasters and currency exchange rates. The second is dynamic. Risks exist in the whole process of international trade. Influenced by the geographical environment, seasonal climate, traffic conditions, time consumption, currency exchange rate, political environment, cultural customs and other factors, risks are always in dynamic changes. Third, relevance. The occurrence of risks must be causal and traceable, and the causes and results of risks are strongly correlated. The fourth is the unknowability. Risks cannot be predicted and completely controlled, especially natural disaster risks.
International trade risks are complex, diverse and dynamic. For a single international trade, there may be multiple trade risks, some of which are mutually reinforcing and some of which are mutually reinforcing. However, each of these risks has its own influence and destructive power, which requires our careful analysis and study.
The currencies of different countries used by both sides in international trade will be affected by the fluctuations of the international financial market, and the currency will appreciate or depreciate. Generally speaking, it takes a long time from the conclusion of a transaction contract to the completion of the transaction by both parties in international trade, and the transaction cannot be realized immediately. In the course of a long period of trade, the currency exchange rate will fluctuate with the fluctuation of the financial market, resulting in the appreciation or depreciation of the trading currency, leading to the occurrence of trading risks.
Contract risks arise from contract agreements. The contracting parties come from different countries, and the laws of different countries have different judgments on the rights and responsibilities related to the contract, which leads to misjudgment and disputes in the process of contract performance, resulting in trade frictions and risks. Another key point of contract risk is contract fraud. Trade through fraudulent means, piggybacking on well-known trademarks, product that the patented invention products, international brand, counterfeit products quality certification, deceived by our trust business and trade contracts, fails to perform the contract unilaterally, or in false and true, shoddy, take money to run, resulting in serious economic losses to our company.
International trade both sides live in countries, from their own interests, to develop and trade protection policy, taking economic means such as high tariffs, quotas, or adopt anti-dumping policy of an imported product, these policies have the characteristics of unpredictability, immediacy, once the policy, the enterprise exports caused great impact to our country. National political situation, on the other hand, trade security environment, the rule of law is also produced one of the most important aspects of the international trade risk, and both countries have a quite different culture, religion, folk custom, etc, the concept and degree of economic openness, property rights protection consciousness, the concept of consumer rights and inconsistent, and so on, will cause the risk of international trade.
International trade also follows the law of the market, and the price is determined by the relationship between supply and demand. The international market environment in which China's export enterprises are located is more of a type of monopolistic competition. Enterprises do not have pricing power in the international market, and their prices are mostly affected by factors such as supply and demand in the international market and changes in the prices of production factors. In terms of the relationship between supply and demand, if the supply increases and the demand decreases, the price will fall. From the perspective of the price change of factors of production, if the price of raw materials rises, the production cost will increase, and the price of commodities will also rise, the sales volume of commodities will be reduced due to the price increase, and the profit margin of commodities may be compressed. In addition, the price factor is also affected by the macroeconomic level of a country, and the consumption level and price level of importing countries will affect the price of China's export commodities to some extent.
International trade risks are also subject to risks caused by unpredictable natural forces, such as earthquake, typhoon, tsunami, fire, flood, hail and other natural disasters. Natural risks are non-resistant and difficult to predict. Once occurring, they are less controllable and the losses caused by disasters are also difficult to estimate.
While international trade creates wealth for both sides and increases consumer surplus and producer surplus, the risks it faces are also complex and changeable. Our country enterprise in the process of foreign trade, to adhere to the development ideas of maintaining stability, can not blindly exaggerated trade risk resistance, ignore the risks were also not optimistic, should actively strengthen the understanding of the whole controlled trade risk, improve risk analysis and prevention capacity, to the realization of maximum trade risk aversion and stop.
Market research is an important means for enterprises to tap market potential, open up and occupy the market. First, strengthen research on the political situation, economic policies, security environment and legal system of the trading countries, scientifically predict the possible political, economic, social and security risks, and make trade risk prevention plans. Second, strengthen the research on the development trend of relevant industries in trading countries, the quality level of similar products, consumer groups, commodity security services and other aspects, earnestly grasp the market environment and competitive advantages of Chinese enterprises' export products, and maximize the value-added trade. Third, carry out risk assessment of trade and transportation capacity, traffic conditions, storage facilities, freight diversion, sales services and other links, make scientific analysis of trade risk points, formulate risk operation plans, and effectively enhance the security and controllability of trade circulation.
Trading enterprises are the main body of international trade, and their credit level directly affects the probability of trade risk. Therefore, it is very important to do a good job in the credit investigation of the counterparty trade enterprises and establish the customer credit evaluation mechanism to prevent trade risks. One is to check the authenticity of the business license of the enterprise, the integrity and credibility of the registration information, the authenticity of the identity of the enterprise as a legal person, whether it has entrusted agents, whether it has the formal authorization of the legal person, whether it has a legal import and export license, etc. The second is to check the operation status of the enterprise on the spot, check the production and operation capacity, production and sales performance, operation and financial status of the enterprise, and whether there is financial support to fulfill the contract. The third is to check the credit status of trading enterprises, whether there are records of breach of contract and violation of laws, credit rating of enterprises, evaluation degree of enterprises and reputation of the industry. Fourth, the view of corporate culture, values, operating standards, staff quality and corporate vision; Understand the spirit of business owners temperament and style of work, business owners of the ruling power of the enterprise; Understand whether the enterprise has the upper company and subordinate companies, its upstream and downstream enterprises and product chain operating conditions, what is the interest relationship between each other.
In the process of international trade, Chinese enterprises can choose some insurance instruments scientifically to avoid and reduce international trade risks. One is to choose transportation insurance. Transportation is the most time-consuming and risky stage in the process of international trade. When purchasing transportation insurance, the insurance company will compensate for the losses caused by the risks in transportation, which can effectively reduce the losses of enterprises. When you buy insurance, you should select relevant types of insurance according to the degree of vulnerability risk of the goods, and keep the documents such as insurance policy, transport contract, goods invoice and inspection report, so as to provide the insurance company with claims in case of loss caused by risks. Second, the choice of export credit insurance. Export credit insurance is a non-profit insurance business, which is provided by the state with risk guarantee and financial support for export enterprises. The government underwrites our country enterprise in the export process, because importer's commercial risk or importer's political risk suffers the loss one kind of credit insurance. The state provides risk guarantee for Chinese enterprises in foreign trade, investment and other economic activities, ensures that export enterprises can receive goods funds in time, and supports Chinese enterprises in foreign trade to the greatest extent. Choose international factoring. Through the international factoring to achieve a kind of contractual relationship between exporters and factor, implementation and settlement, management, guarantees, financing is a body comprehensive business services, exporters will transfer agreed upon in the contract of sale of goods trade receivable to factor, factor responsible for importers account recovery and jiggled, provide prepaid financing for exporters, exporters of capital operation and circulation, shorten the trade operation period, faster order to succeed and corporate value. Some large equipment before equipment export, export enterprises will require importers to issue a bank guarantee, bank guarantee according to contract and open international trade, but with independent legal effect, if the importer cannot according to the contract payment after receipt of the goods, export enterprises can lodge a claim against the guarantee bank, instead of the importer to pay unconditionally by the bank, which can effectively avoid risk. Fifth, choose standby letter of credit. In some countries and regions, the bank guarantee service is not common, the exporter can choose the standby letter of credit, which is widely used in commercial Banks. The issuing commercial bank, according to the request of the importer, issues a certificate to the exporter promising to undertake a certain obligation. If the importer fails to perform his obligations, the exporter may require payment by the issuing bank in accordance with the provisions of the standby letter of credit.
Exchange rate risk is one of the risks that foreign trade enterprises focus on. At present, many countries generally adopt floating exchange rates, which will fluctuate with the changes in the international financial market. Due to the relatively long delivery period of international trade, the valuation currency may fluctuate greatly during the period from the conclusion of the contract to the delivery and payment, which directly affects the economic interests of both parties. In the actual trade, from the perspective of benefit to their own interests, for the export trade of Chinese enterprises, we can use the coin valuation transaction, for the import trade of Chinese enterprises, we can use the soft currency valuation transaction. If the transaction currency is not favorable to us, Chinese enterprises can adjust the external quotation according to the exchange rate change. We can also try to establish hedging clauses to avoid economic losses caused by exchange rate risks.
Price war has always been a powerful weapon for international trade market competition. However, with the continuous improvement of per capita GDP of all countries in the world, the improvement of people's living standards and consumption concepts, the grade and quality of products are favored by consumers of all countries, and product competitiveness has become the biggest winner in the international trade market. Countries with advantages in advanced manufacturing, core technology, intelligent technology and information technology have set strict technical barriers to international trade. Only when the quality of products meets the standards set by these countries can the products be exported to these countries. Therefore, Chinese enterprises should constantly strengthen independent innovation ability, with the development of the initiative firmly in his hands, trying to make the "made in China" brand, and actively participate in relevant leading international standards, strive to occupy the initiative in the global economic competition, continue to expand our country enterprise of foreign trade strength and international market share.
In short, international trade builds a bridge of mutual benefit between countries. While accelerating productivity improvement and promoting the effective allocation of resources, it also brings many uncertain risks. Chinese enterprises should embrace international trade with an open and inclusive attitude, carefully analyze the characteristics and rules of international trade risks, adopt positive countermeasures and measures to avoid and reduce risks, constantly improve the product quality of Chinese enterprises, build Chinese brands, better integrate into global trade, and improve the international competitiveness of Chinese products.
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