2019-nCoV の基本再生産数 Roの新たな数字。
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ソースはこちら
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.27.20018952v1
Using the data described above, is estimated to be 4.08, indicating that an infected 𝑅
60 patient infects more than four susceptible people during the outbreak. This value substantially
61 exceeds WHO's estimate of (supposed to be smaller than ) between 1.4 and 2.5, and is 𝑅0 𝑅
62 also higher than a recent estimate between 3.6 and 4.0 ( 𝑅 8). Compared against the 2003 0
63 SARS epidemic, of 2019-nCoV is higher than that of SARS in both Beijing (2.76) and 𝑅
64 Guangzhou (3.01) (calculated using the same method). T
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