久しぶりに大前研一の文章を読んだが、尊敬する大前研一は活きの下がった魚専門の魚屋に成り果てていた。もはや彼はダボス人でも地球人でもない。ふわふわと古い話題を今更啓蒙するガリレオの亡霊のような正しさ時を射ない虚しさが同居する。今頃一帯一路が独裁者の夢だと言ってる評論家は政治系Youtuber未満の情報家。つい最近自分で「中国を敵視して過度に制裁・排除することは避けるべきだ」と書いたことを後悔しているのだろうか? 20年前はいくらか尊敬していた人物だけに残念。
One Belt, One Road" is the Idea of a Dictator
The "One Belt, One Road" concept of a wide-area economic zone is also in line with Hitler's imperialist policy of territorial expansion and aggression. President Xi is planning to turn Beijing into the "World Capital" of the 21st century through the "One Belt, One Road" project, while Hitler was also planning to transform Berlin into the "World Capital of Germania. In the past, Napoleon built the Arc de Triomphe and other structures to turn Paris into a city worthy of being the capital of Europe (the world capital at that time), but dictators always dream of becoming the "world capital," and in this sense, I think Xi Jinping and Hitler's ideas overlap greatly. In this sense, I believe that Xi and Hitler's ideology overlap very much. If we look at history "in light of history," as Xi often says, this is the "road we have come down.
What is instructive here is the Munich Conference of 1938. British Prime Minister Chamberlain met with Hitler, who was about to invade Czechoslovakia, and in order to avoid war, he fully accepted Hitler's demands and ceded the Zdeten region of the Czech Republic to Germany on the condition that no further territorial demands would be made. However, Hitler invaded Poland the following year, and World War II broke out.
Prime Minister Chamberlain's decision to compromise with Hitler by adopting a policy of appeasement was a mistake, but Japan's response to the Tiananmen Square protests followed in his footsteps. According to diplomatic documents released by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs at the end of last year, Prime Minister Muneyuke Uno, who attended the Arush Summit in July 1990, adopted a policy of appeasement by including the phrase "avoid isolation of China" in his condemnation of China in order to avoid a deterioration in relations with China. It is said that he was an advisor to Taiwan's China Airlines at the time.
At the time, I was rebuilding the management of China Airlines in Taiwan as an advisor, and I urged the company's management team (all of whom were former Air Force generals) to "attack China now and unify" and "if we do that, the whole world will support us," but they did not budge. In the end, the Chinese Communist Party survived the suppression of the democracy movement, leading to the current extremely powerful Xi Jinping regime.
So how should Japan deal with the haughty Xi Jinping dictatorship from now on? In this series of articles (New Year's Special), I wrote that "Japan should avoid looking at China as an enemy and excessively sanctioning or eliminating it," but on the other hand, I also think that a policy of appeasement may lead to an invasion of Taiwan. The U.S. and the U.K. have already deployed an aircraft carrier strike group based on the premise of a "Taiwan contingency," and if there is a contingency, the U.S. military will undoubtedly use Okinawa as a base. It is important to learn from the historical analogy of the failure to stop Hitler's invasion on the premise that Japan would have to be directly involved in a Taiwanese contingency.
[Profile
Kenichi Ohmae was born in 1943. Kenichi Omae was born in 1943. After working as the head of McKinsey & Company's Japan office and as a director at the company's headquarters, he left the company in 1994. Currently serves as Chairman of the Board of Business Breakthrough and President of Business Breakthrough University. His latest book is "Japan's Talking Points 2021-22" (President Inc.). He is also the author of many books, including Shogakukan Shinsho (New Work Power: How to Work Differently in the "Telework Era").
「一帯一路」は独裁者の発想
ナポレオンが凱旋門などを建設してパリをヨーロッパの首都(=当時の世界首都)にふさわしい都市にしようとしたが、独裁者は「世界首都」を夢見るものであり、その意味でも習近平とヒトラーの思想は非常に重なると思うのだ。習主席がしばしば口にする「歴史を鑑として」見れば、これこそ「いつか来た道」ではないか。 class="yjSlinkDirectlinkHl" title="宇野宗佑">宇野宗佑首相は、対中関係の悪化を避けるため、非難宣言に「中国の孤立化回避」という文言を入れ込む宥和政策をとり、人権重視の欧米と「1対6」の構図になったという。 class="yjSlinkDirectlinkHl" title="大前研一">大前研一(おおまえ・けんいち)/1943年生まれ。マッキンゼー・アンド・カンパニー日本支社長、本社ディレクター等を経て、1994年退社。現在、ビジネス・ブレークスルー代表取締役会長、ビジネス・ブレークスルー大学学長などを務める。最新刊は『日本の論点2021~22』(プレジデント社)。ほかに小学館新書『新・仕事力