For foreigners who are considering visiting Japan for sightseeing. Carefully consider the two risks of Japan! Tour boat and earthquake risk (2)
Note
This article is a machine translation of the Japanese article at the end.
If you have any questions, please write in Japanese.
In particular, I think there are many overseas people who want to go sightseeing in Japan.
The first is that the safety of tour boats that travel around the seas and lakes is not ensured.
Second, there are no shelters in cities or rural areas in the event of a major earthquake.
Last time, I told you about the safety of the first sightseeing boat.
This time, we would like to inform you that we have not been able to secure evacuation shelters in cities and regions due to the second major earthquake.
I will inform overseas people of the details from now on, so please consider carefully and consider whether you will come to Japan for sightseeing.
The Tokyo Metropolitan Government announced on May 25 the estimated damage caused by an earthquake directly beneath the Tokyo metropolitan area.
According to an article in the Asahi Shimbun on May 26, the damage is expected to be 6148 dead, 93,435 injured, 2.99 million evacuees, 4.53 million difficult to return home, and 112232 fires in the evening of winter. ..
If you were visiting Tokyo for sightseeing at this time, if you encounter a direct earthquake, even if you can survive from the collapse of the house or a fire, 2.99 million evacuees and people who have difficulty returning home (to the hotel) (Return) It is highly likely that you will be one of 4.53 million people.
If it is a type of earthquake directly under the capital, it is expected that the seismic intensity will be 6 to 7, which is much higher than the seismic intensity at the time of the Great East Japan Earthquake of 3.11.
When that happens, most traffic is expected to stop.
Even during the Great East Japan Earthquake, most of the transportation facilities stopped, and many people were forced to go home on foot.
Moreover, it is expected that the situation of the assumed earthquake directly under the capital will be more severe than that of the 3.11 Great East Japan Earthquake.
It is a big blackout that hits the metropolitan area.
In the experience of the author who experienced 3.11, fortunately my house did not have a power outage that day, so I was able to have two friends stay at my house.
If there was a power outage at that time, we couldn't cook, let alone heat, and we think we had to wrap around in the futon and quiver.
Of course, it must have been impossible to obtain information from TV, information using mobile phones, and contact via SNS.
In such a situation, if you are lucky enough to stay at home like my friend, it is expected to be unimaginably severe for people who spend the severe winter cold in public facilities such as school gymnasiums without electricity. ..
Because there is no electricity, there is no heating, you cannot contact your family or company, and you cannot watch TV information.
Travelers can't do anything.
There must be a lot of people who get sick due to the severe cold of winter and the anxiety of not being able to contact or get information.
Even if a person who was hit by an earthquake directly below the capital was lucky enough to reach the hotel, the elevator would not work due to a major power outage, and the rooms on the upper floors would have to walk up the stairs.
It's fine on the 10th floor, but above that they won't even feel like climbing the stairs.
Even if they managed to get back to the room, the power outage would stop the water supply, there would be no heating, the room would be pitch black, and a single bed blanket would be difficult to survive the harsh winter cold of Japan.
This is because the hotel rooms are bed-made with thin futons and blankets instead of thick futons like Japanese futons, assuming that they are heated.
Even if they put on their clothes and manage to get rid of the cold, it would be almost impossible to procure food and water.
This is because the elevator does not move, and above all, food such as convenience stores disappears first due to the earthquake.
Even if an emergency generator were driven and an elevator was operated in a top-class hotel, and emergency food for hotel guests was stockpiled, it would only have a few days of food.
They will be overwhelmed by the double punch of cold and hunger in the dark.
In addition, due to the violent shaking of seismic intensity 6 to 7, many generators of thermal power plants in the Gulf region of the metropolitan area will not be able to cope with the violent shaking and will break down, so it will take at least one month to recover. ..
(I think that the reason why my house did not have a power outage at 3.11 was that the seismic intensity was about 5 or higher, so the thermal power plant in the Gulf region managed to withstand the violent shaking and did not break down. In a type earthquake, the seismic intensity reaches 6 to 7, so the thermal power plant will probably break down.)
Travelers will not be able to withstand the harsh cold of Japan for a month without electricity, food, heating, water, baths and futons.
The most important infrastructure of a shelter (accommodation) is electricity.
Without it, sightseeing is a picture of rice cake.
Therefore, although I am thinking of visiting Japan for sightseeing, please make a decision after careful consideration and careful consideration by all overseas people.
I'm going summer so it's okay.
No, that's not enough thought.
The situation could be even worse if a major earthquake hits the metropolitan area in the summer.
It's the heat of the heat.
Even if a person suffering from a large direct earthquake evacuates indoors to avoid the severe heat outside, the air conditioner will not work wherever he goes due to the large power outage that hits the metropolitan area. The room will be extremely hot and you will suffer from heat stroke.
Indoors are more prone to heat stroke than outdoors.
What's more, all food is rotten and can't be eaten in a blink of an eye because the refrigerator doesn't work.
Food shortages will be more serious than in winter.
In the metropolitan area, the risk of direct earthquakes is extremely high even in the summer.
No, things may be more serious in the summer.
So is it relatively safe in spring and autumn?
However, peace of mind is prohibited.
There are also risks in early spring and late autumn.
This spring, the power shortage warning was issued for the first time.
The lie that the safety of TEPCO and the government's nuclear power plants has been ensured by the Fukushima nuclear accident on 3.11 Not even thinking about the minimum measures to do so, TEPCO and the government were forced to argue that there was no possibility of a publicly announced huge earthquake in order to hide the "lie" of the nuclear power plant myth. Many nuclear power plants have been suspended since the accident (only 10 out of 27 nuclear power plants have been restarted, that is, 17) due to the discovery that they lost one after another in the trial. The composition is exactly the same as the sinking accident of the Shiretoko sightseeing boat. The nuclear power plant is out of service (according to an article in the Asahi Shimbun June 1st), so there is a shortage of power.
The ratio of solar power generation is increasing, but the amount of power generation fluctuates greatly depending on the weather, and even a little bad weather will soon cause a power shortage.
In other words, even if an earthquake directly beneath the capital does not occur, Japan is chronically short of electricity.
So I can't be relieved because it's spring or autumn.
If the amount of power generation cannot keep up with the rapid growth in electricity demand due to the sudden cold in spring and autumn, it will be a blackout.
That's why overseas people are no longer a tourist attraction.
Even with blackouts, some power plants will fail.
If that happens, it will take time to recover again.
Travelers are forced to spend uncomfortable times at the hotel without elevators and without heating and cooling.
According to the World Business Satellite (a TV program that is a useful source of information in Japan) the day before yesterday, this winter (January next year), it will definitely black out if there is a shortage of 2 million kwh of electricity and nothing is done. It seems that it will end up.
This amount of power generation is equivalent to two nuclear power plants.
The root of the power shortage lies in the government's industrial policy (energy policy), but since the government has been unplanned and unplanned since before the war, the method has hardly changed, so this is Fukushima Daiichi. Even if a severe accident occurs at a nuclear power plant, the government still thinks that it is okay if major electric power plants generate electricity at the nuclear power plant.
In Japan, we are in an era where both the people and companies have to manage their own electricity.
Specifically, solar power generation, fuel cells for private power generation for home use, storage batteries that are safer than large-capacity lithium-ion batteries for home use, hydrogen generators for home-use solar power generation, and safe hydrogen storage with adsorbents ( Fuel for fuel cells), etc.
If you are planning to come to Japan for sightseeing from overseas, we would like to inform you that you will come to Japan with the feeling and preparation that you will manage the electricity yourself.
Electricity is the most basic infrastructure of our social life.
日本へ観光で訪れることを検討されている外国の方へ。 日本の2つのリスクをよく検討してください！ 観光船と地震のリスク（2）