文明のターンテーブルThe Turntable of Civilization

日本の時間、世界の時間。
The time of Japan, the time of the world

似乎沒有可以使用的現金流。

2021年03月18日 14時55分33秒 | 全般

以下是宮崎雅弘和渡邊哲也寫的書,《內戰還是共產主義革命》?迫在眉睫的美國夢night。
99
中國經濟面臨風險
宮崎
許多思想家預測,中國將在2035年超過美國。
例如,野村證券(Nomura Securities)預測,中國將在2027年超過美國。
野村證券從一開始就進入中國市場。
從我們的角度來看,這些預測聽起來像是在開玩笑。
中國的人口確實比美國大五倍,因此,中國的GDP可能會超過美國,但這並不意味著中國會超過美國。
但是,說中國會超過美國是單方面的。
我們需要對人均GDP或生活質量進行劃分,以獲得正確的數字並衡量現實。
日本媒體的問題是他們談論中國是威脅還是爆炸力量,卻完全忽略了人均GDP和實際GDP之類的東西。
渡邊
首先,中國是金字塔結構。
中國共產黨的9,200萬成員,他們的家庭和富裕的中國城市人口約為1.5億,經濟合作與發展組織(OECD),包括居住在日本的中產階級,約為3億。 。剩餘的11億人口只是該結構的“其餘部分”。
想到一個擁有14億人口的市場是錯誤的,而且很難找到一個中等的數字。
因為他們沒有像日本這樣的中產階級。
宮崎
的確如此,但另一方面,也有3億中國人可以出國旅行。
另一方面,有3億中國人可以出國旅行。
並且售出了超過10億部手機。
渡邊。
好大
但是,最終,這是以犧牲剩餘的11億人口為代價的,這是極大的社會不滿的根源。
正如李克強總理在2020年5月的一次新聞發布會上透露的那樣,中國有6億人,月收入為1000元人民幣(約15,000日元)。
宮崎
不滿的根源最終變成了不滿,當不滿的熱情爆發時,這成為了迄今為止中國歷史上的一場革命。
然而,在那種情況下,只有在發生飢荒或人民如此貧窮以至於明天他們沒有足夠的飯菜時,才會出現革命的情緒。
但是目前,農民仍然可以在排的最後吃飯。只要士兵每天能吃三頓飯,我認為中國軍隊就不可能發動政變。
渡邊
過去,習近平對老虎的狩獵受到稱讚,正是這11億人民為習近平的社會主義,共產主義和祖傳的財產鼓掌。
例如,當阿里巴巴的馬雲成為替罪羊時,所有窮人都為他加油助威。
宮崎
這是真的。對富人有很多不滿。
全世界犯罪的動機是食物,金錢和婦女。
渡邊
從這個角度看,淨化一定數量的富人和減少中產階級是中國共產黨的命運。
如果他們不這樣做,他們將耗盡家庭資源。
如果我們減少中產階級,我們就可以停止浪費資源。首先,地球上沒有足夠的資源來豐富14億人口。
現在該丟下她繼續前進了。
到2025年,中國將轉變為人口不斷減少的社會。人口將從人口紅利變為勞動力短缺(比工作更有利的情況)。
一胎化的政策將導致人口的迅速老齡化,其出生速度是日本的三倍。
我認為是在1990年左右泡沫經濟的盡頭,日本從“人口紅利”變成了“人口負數”。
大約在同一時間,全球主義在1988年上升。
然後泡沫破裂,然後金融體系開始崩潰。
在中國,我們看到2015年上海股市暴跌,對吧?
宮崎
但是,這是出於不同的原因。
2015年8月15日,天津發生了巨大的爆炸。
渡邊
是的,無論出於何種原因,我們現在都在追隨日本。
在1980年代下半葉,日本和美國之間的貿易摩擦成為一個問題,汽車被關閉並徵收關稅。 Bebble之後,日本的保費被添加到日本的銀行利率中,從而傷害了公司。
對中國也做同樣的事情,考慮到這一進程的速度是日本的三倍,因此,花了30年的日本之路將在十年之內完成。
我們可以預測,這種情況將在2025年左右發生。

除了明顯的“扭曲”,例如14億人口龐大,人口老齡化速度是日本的三倍,社會保障體係不成熟,貨幣供應過剩,國有企業經常違約。他們的證券,以及去年年底發生的大規模停電,計劃經濟中還存在其他緊張局勢,但尚未披露。除了可見的“”之外,由於計劃經濟,還積累了其他一些看不見的。
通常,自由經濟總是處於平穩狀態,在經濟上升之前就進行了調整,但中國經濟卻並非如此。
當上海股市崩潰時,進行了短暫的調整,但計劃經濟進一步作弊。
但是現在,國有企業終於開始倒閉。
宮崎
它發生得非常快。首先是企業債券違約,然後是恆大集團(中國最大的房地產公司)和煤炭巨頭永成煤炭。
無論哪種方式,那些不會失敗的公司都不會產生影響。
渡邊
甚至紫光集團也這樣做。
宮崎
紫光集團很久以前就這樣做了。北京方正集團。
紫光隸屬於清華大學,而方正隸屬於北京大學,因此隸屬於中國最高學術機構的高科技企業大呼一口氣。
渡邊
這樣,我們現在可以看到大量的標準。
就像日本過去發生的第二波泡沫一樣。
國有企業的破產意味著可以騙取人民幣計價的貨幣,但不可能騙取外幣。
許多外幣違約已經開始發生的事實就說明了這一點。
宮崎
它將失去國際信譽。向中國公司提供貸款並不容易。
現在,中國的保費不僅僅是2%。是8%。
然而,他們想要外匯。
渡邊
有傳言說,中國拒絕進口澳大利亞煤炭實際上不是製裁,而是由於外匯短缺造成的限制。
與澳大利亞的衝突不僅存在,而且還缺乏外彙來立即解決。
似乎沒有可以使用的現金流。
農曆新年是2月12日,農曆新年後將發生的事情是中國經濟的主題。
宮崎
澳大利亞的煤炭正在被印尼和其他國家的煤炭所取代,由於中國和澳大利亞之間的爭執,日本對中國的木材出口正在迅速擴大。
本文繼續。


似乎没有可以使用的现金流。

2021年03月18日 14時52分53秒 | 全般

以下摘自宫崎骏弘和渡边哲也的著作,《内战还是共产主义革命》?迫在眉睫的美国梦night。
99
中国经济面临风险
宫崎
许多思想家预测,中国将在2035年超过美国。
例如,野村证券(Nomura Securities)预测,中国将在2027年超过美国。
野村证券从一开始就进入中国市场。
从我们的角度来看,这些预测听起来像是在开玩笑。
中国的人口确实比美国大五倍,因此,中国的GDP可能会超过美国,但这并不意味着中国会超过美国。
但是,说中国会超过美国是单方面的。
我们需要对人均GDP或生活质量进行划分,以获得正确的数字并衡量现实。
日本媒体的问题是他们谈论中国是威胁还是爆炸力量,却完全忽略了人均GDP和实际GDP之类的东西。
渡边
首先,中国是金字塔结构。
中国共产党的9,200万成员,他们的家庭和富裕的中国城市人口约为1.5亿,经济合作与发展组织(OECD),包括居住在日本的中产阶级,约为3亿。 。剩余的11亿人口只是该结构的“其余部分”。
想到一个拥有14亿人口的市场是错误的,而且很难找到一个中等的数字。
因为他们没有像日本这样的中产阶级。
宫崎
的确如此,但另一方面,也有3亿中国人可以出国旅行。
另一方面,有3亿中国人可以出国旅行。
并且售出了超过10亿部手机。
渡边。
好大
但是,最终,这是以牺牲剩余的11亿人口为代价的,这是极大的社会不满的根源。
正如李克强总理在2020年5月的一次新闻发布会上透露的那样,中国有6亿人,月收入为1000元人民币(约15,000日元)。
宫崎
不满的根源最终变成了不满,当不满的热情爆发时,这成为了迄今为止中国历史上的一场革命。
然而,在那种情况下,只有在发生饥荒或人民如此贫穷以至于明天他们没有足够的饭菜时,才会出现革命的情绪。
但是目前,农民仍然可以在排的最后吃饭。只要士兵每天能吃三顿饭,我认为中国军队就不可能发动政变。
渡边
过去,习近平对老虎的狩猎受到称赞,正是这11亿人为习近平的社会主义,共产主义和祖传的土地鼓掌。
例如,当阿里巴巴的马云成为替罪羊时,所有穷人都为他加油助威。
宫崎
这是真的。对富人有很多不满。
全世界犯罪的动机是食物,金钱和妇女。
渡边
从这个角度看,净化一定数量的富人和减少中产阶级是中国共产党的命运。
如果他们不这样做,他们将耗尽家庭资源。
如果我们减少中产阶级,我们就可以停止浪费资源。首先,地球上没有足够的资源来丰富14亿人口。
现在该丢下她继续前进了。
到2025年,中国将转变为人口不断减少的社会。人口将从人口红利变为劳动力短缺(比工作更有利的情况)。
一胎化的政策将导致人口的迅速老龄化,其出生速度是日本的三倍。
我认为是在1990年左右泡沫经济的尽头,日本从“人口红利”变成了“人口负数”。
大约在同一时间,全球主义在1988年上升。
然后泡沫破裂,然后金融体系开始崩溃。
在中国,我们看到2015年上海股市暴跌,对吧?
宫崎
但是,这是出于不同的原因。
2015年8月15日,天津发生了巨大的爆炸。
渡边
是的,无论出于何种原因,我们现在都在追随日本。
在1980年代下半叶,日本和美国之间的贸易摩擦成为一个问题,汽车被关闭并征收关税。 Bebble之后,日本的保费被添加到日本的银行利率中,从而伤害了公司。
对中国也做同样的事情,考虑到这一进程的速度是日本的三倍,因此,花了30年的日本之路将在十年之内完成。
我们可以预测,这种情况将在2025年左右发生。

除了明显的“扭曲”,例如14亿人口庞大,人口老龄化速度是日本的三倍,社会保障体系不成熟,货币供应过剩,国有企业经常违约。他们的证券,以及去年年底发生的大规模停电,计划经济中还存在其他紧张局势,但尚未披露。除了可见的“”之外,由于计划经济,还积累了其他一些看不见的。
通常,自由经济总是处于平稳状态,在经济上升之前就进行了调整,但中国经济却并非如此。
当上海股市崩溃时,进行了短暂的调整,但计划经济进一步作弊。
但是现在,国有企业终于开始倒闭。
宫崎
它发生得非常快。首先是企业债券违约,然后是恒大集团(中国最大的房地产公司)和煤炭巨头永成煤炭。
无论哪种方式,那些不会失败的公司都不会产生影响。
渡边
甚至紫光集团也这样做。
宫崎
紫光集团很久以前就这样做了。北京方正集团。
紫光隶属于清华大学,而方正隶属于北京大学,因此隶属于中国最高学术机构的高科技企业大呼一口气。
渡边
这样,我们现在可以看到大量的标准。
就像日本过去发生的第二波泡沫一样。
国有企业的破产意味着可以骗取人民币计价的货币,但不可能骗取外币。
许多外币违约已经开始发生的事实就说明了这一点。
宫崎
它将失去国际信誉。向中国公司提供贷款并不容易。
现在,中国的保费不仅仅是2%。是8%。
然而,他们想要外汇。
渡边
有传言说,中国拒绝进口澳大利亚煤炭实际上不是制裁,而是由于外汇短缺造成的限制。
与澳大利亚的冲突不仅存在,而且还缺乏外汇来立即解决。
似乎没有可以使用的现金流。
农历新年是2月12日,农历新年后将发生的事情是中国经济的主题。
宫崎
澳大利亚的煤炭正在被印尼和其他国家的煤炭所取代,由于中国和澳大利亚之间的争执,日本对中国的木材出口正在迅速扩大。
本文继续。


Кажется, что нет денежного потока, который можно

2021年03月18日 14時50分15秒 | 全般

Следующее из книги Масахиро Миядзаки и Тецуя Ватанабе, Гражданская война или коммунистическая революция? Надвигающийся американский кошмар.
p99-p125
Экономика Китая под угрозой
Миядзаки
Многие мыслители предсказывают, что Китай обгонит США в 2035 году.
Например, Nomura Securities прогнозирует, что Китай обгонит США в 2027 году.
Nomura Securities присутствует на китайском рынке с самого начала.
С нашей точки зрения, эти прогнозы звучат как шутка.
Население Китая действительно в пять раз больше, чем в США, поэтому существует вероятность того, что ВВП Китая может превысить ВВП США, но это не означает, что Китай превзойдет США.
Но говорить о том, что Китай превзойдет США, слишком однобоко.
Нам нужно разделить ВВП на душу населения или качество жизни, чтобы получить правильную цифру и измерить реальность.
Проблема с японскими СМИ в том, что они говорят о Китае как об угрозе или взрывной силе и полностью игнорируют такие вещи, как ВВП на душу населения и реальный ВВП.
Ватанабэ
Начнем с того, что Китай представляет собой пирамидальную структуру.
92 миллиона членов Коммунистической партии Китая, их семьи и зажиточные китайцы, проживающие в городах, насчитывают около 150 миллионов, а Организацию экономического сотрудничества и развития (ОЭСР), включая средний класс, проживающий в Японии, составляет около 300 миллионов. . Остальные 1,1 миллиарда человек - это всего лишь «остальная часть» структуры.
Ошибочно думать о рынке в 1,4 миллиарда человек, и нелегко найти среднюю цифру.
Потому что у них нет такого среднего класса, как в Японии.
Миядзаки
Это правда, но, с другой стороны, верно и то, что 300 миллионов китайцев могут выезжать за границу.
С другой стороны, 300 миллионов китайцев могут выезжать за границу.
И продано более 1 миллиарда сотовых телефонов.
Ватанабэ.
Оно большое.
Однако в конечном итоге это происходит за счет оставшихся 1,1 миллиарда человек, и это является источником большого социального недовольства.
Как заявил премьер-министр Ли Кэцян на пресс-конференции в мае 2020 года, в Китае 600 миллионов человек с ежемесячным доходом в 1000 юаней (около 15000 иен).
Миядзаки
Источником недовольства в конечном итоге становится негодование, а когда магма негодования взрывается, это становится революцией, которая до сих пор была историей Китая.
В этом случае, однако, революционные настроения возникнут только тогда, когда будет голод или когда люди станут настолько бедны, что завтра им не хватит еды.
Но пока фермеры могут есть в конце ряда. Пока солдаты могут есть три раза в день, я не думаю, что китайская армия может надеяться на переворот.
Ватанабэ
Охоте Си Цзиньпина на тигра в прошлом аплодировали, и именно эти 1,1 миллиарда человек аплодируют социализму, коммунизму и возвращению предков Си Цзиньпина.
Когда, например, Джек Ма из Alibaba стал козлом отпущения, все бедняки подбодрили его.
Миядзаки
Это правда. Есть много негодования против богатых.
Мотивы преступности в мире - еда, деньги и женщины.
Ватанабэ
С этой точки зрения, судьба коммунистической партии Китая - очистить определенное количество богатых людей и сократить средний класс.
Если они этого не сделают, у них закончатся домашние ресурсы.
Если мы сократим средний класс, мы сможем перестать тратить ресурсы. Во-первых, на Земле недостаточно ресурсов, чтобы обогатить 1,4 миллиарда человек.
Пора бросить ее и двигаться дальше.
К 2025 году Китай превратится в общество с сокращающимся населением. Демографическая ситуация изменится от демографического бонуса к нехватке рабочей силы (более благоприятная ситуация, чем работа).
Политика одного ребенка приведет к быстрому старению населения, при этом рождаемость будет в три раза выше, чем в Японии.
Я думаю, что это было в конце экономического пузыря, примерно в 1990 году, когда Япония перешла с «бонуса на человеческую популяцию» на «отрицательную».
Это было примерно в то же время, когда в 1988 году усилился глобализм.
Затем пузырь лопнул, а затем начала рушиться финансовая система.
В Китае мы видели крах фондового рынка Шанхая в 2015 году, верно?
Миядзаки
Однако это было по другой причине.
15 августа 2015 года в Тяньцзине произошел огромный взрыв.
Ватанабэ
Да, по какой-то причине мы сейчас следуем примеру Японии.
Во второй половине 1980-х годов торговые трения между Японией и США были проблемой, и автомобили были остановлены и введены пошлины. После Bebble премии Японии были добавлены к процентным ставкам японских банков, что нанесло ущерб компаниям.
То же самое происходит с Китаем, и, учитывая, что скорость этого процесса в три раза выше, чем у Японии, путь, на который у Японии ушло 30 лет, будет завершен в течение десяти лет.
Можно прогнозировать, что это произойдет примерно в 2025 году.

Помимо видимых «искажений», таких как большая численность населения в 1,4 миллиарда человек, население стареет в три раза быстрее, чем в Японии, незрелая система социального обеспечения, чрезмерная денежная масса, частые дефолты государственных предприятий по их ценные бумаги и крупные отключения электроэнергии, произошедшие в конце прошлого года, создают и другие противоречия в плановой экономике, которые не раскрываются. Помимо видимых «племен», есть также другие невидимые племена, накопившиеся благодаря плановой экономике.
Обычно в свободной экономике всегда есть плато, и корректировки производятся до подъема экономики, но это не относится к китайской экономике.
Когда фондовый рынок в Шанхае рухнул, произошла небольшая корректировка, но плановая экономика обманула еще больше.
Однако сейчас госпредприятия наконец начинают разваливаться.
Миядзаки
Это происходит очень быстро. Все началось с дефолта по корпоративным облигациям, а затем с Hengda Group (крупнейшей компании по недвижимости в Китае) и угольного гиганта Yongcheng Coal.
В любом случае, компании, которым не пришлось бы терпеть неудачу, не имеют своего эффекта.
Ватанабэ
Даже Ziguang Group делает это.
Миядзаки
Ziguang Group сделала это очень давно. Fangzheng Group в Пекине.
Цзыгуан связан с Университетом Цинхуа, а Фангчжэн - с Пекинским университетом, поэтому высокотехнологичные предприятия, связанные с высшими академическими учреждениями Китая, кричат ​​до последнего вздоха.
Ватанабэ
Таким образом, сейчас мы видим большое количество стандартов.
Это похоже на вторую волну пузыря, лопнувшего в прошлом Японии.
Банкротство государственных предприятий означает, что можно обмануть валюту, выраженную в юанях, но невозможно обмануть иностранную валюту.
Об этом свидетельствует тот факт, что многие дефолты в иностранной валюте начали происходить.
Миядзаки
Он потеряет международный кредит. Кредитовать китайские компании будет непросто.
Премия Китая теперь составляет не только 2%; это 8%.
Тем не менее им нужна иностранная валюта.
Ватанабэ
Ходят слухи, что отказ Китая импортировать австралийский уголь на самом деле является не санкцией, а скорее ограничением из-за нехватки иностранной валюты.
Существует не только конфликт с Австралией, но также нехватка иностранной валюты для немедленного урегулирования.
Кажется, что нет денежного потока, который можно было бы использовать.
Китайский Новый год наступает 12 февраля, и то, что будет после нового года, - тема китайской экономики.
Миядзаки
Австралийский уголь заменяется углем из Индонезии и других стран, а экспорт древесины из Японии в Китай быстро расширяется из-за вражды между Китаем и Австралией.
Эта статья продолжается.


Parece não haver fluxo de caixa que possa ser usado.

2021年03月18日 14時42分58秒 | 全般

O texto a seguir é de um livro de Masahiro Miyazaki e Tetsuya Watanabe, Guerra Civil ou Revolução Comunista? O iminente pesadelo americano.
p99-p125
Economia da China coberta por risco
Miyazaki
Muitos pensadores prevêem que a China ultrapassará os EUA em 2035.
A Nomura Securities, por exemplo, prevê que a China ultrapassará os EUA em 2027.
A Nomura Securities está no mercado chinês desde o início.
Essas previsões soam como uma piada do nosso ponto de vista.
A população da China é de fato cinco vezes maior do que a dos EUA, então há uma possibilidade de que o PIB da China ultrapasse o dos EUA, mas isso não significa que a China ultrapasse os EUA.
Mas dizer que a China vai superar os EUA é muito unilateral.
Precisamos dividir o PIB per capita, ou a qualidade de vida, para obter a cifra certa e medir a realidade.
O problema com a mídia japonesa é que eles falam sobre a China como uma ameaça ou como uma força explosiva, e ignoram completamente coisas como PIB per capita e PIB real.
Watanabe
Para começar, a China é uma estrutura piramidal.
Os 92 milhões de membros do Partido Comunista da China, suas famílias e os chineses abastados que vivem nas cidades somam cerca de 150 milhões e a Organização para Cooperação e Desenvolvimento Econômico (OCDE), incluindo a classe média que vive no Japão, é de cerca de 300 milhões . Os 1,1 bilhão de pessoas restantes são apenas o 'resto' da estrutura.
É um erro pensar em um mercado de 1,4 bilhão de pessoas, e não é fácil encontrar uma figura intermediária.
Porque eles não têm uma classe média total como o Japão.
Miyazaki
É verdade, mas por outro lado, também é verdade que há 300 milhões de chineses que podem viajar para o exterior.
Por outro lado, existem 300 milhões de chineses que podem viajar para o exterior.
E mais de 1 bilhão de telefones celulares são vendidos.
Watanabe.
É grande.
No final das contas, porém, isso ocorre às custas dos 1,1 bilhão de pessoas restantes, e isso é uma fonte de grande descontentamento social.
Como o primeiro-ministro Li Keqiang revelou em uma entrevista coletiva em maio de 2020, há 600 milhões de pessoas na China com uma renda mensal de 1.000 yuans (cerca de 15.000 ienes).
Miyazaki
A fonte de descontentamento acaba se transformando em ressentimento e, quando o magma do ressentimento explode, torna-se uma revolução que até então tem sido a história da China.
Nesse caso, porém, o sentimento revolucionário só surgirá quando houver fome ou quando as pessoas forem tão pobres que não terão o que comer amanhã.
Mas, por enquanto, os fazendeiros ainda podem comer no final da linha. Contanto que os soldados possam comer três refeições por dia, não acho que o exército chinês possa esperar um golpe.
Watanabe
A caça ao tigre de Xi Jinping foi aplaudida no passado, e são esses 1,1 bilhão de pessoas que aplaudem o socialismo, o comunismo e o retorno ancestral de Xi Jinping.
Quando Jack Ma do Alibaba, por exemplo, se tornou um bode expiatório, todos os pobres o apoiaram.
Miyazaki
É verdade. Há muito ressentimento contra os ricos.
A motivação para o crime no mundo é comida, dinheiro e mulheres.
Watanabe
Dessa perspectiva, é destino do Partido Comunista Chinês purificar uma certa quantidade de pessoas ricas e reduzir a classe média.
Se não o fizerem, eles ficarão sem recursos domésticos.
Se reduzirmos a classe média, podemos parar de desperdiçar recursos. Primeiro, não há recursos suficientes na terra para enriquecer 1,4 bilhão de pessoas.
É hora de deixá-la e seguir em frente.
Em 2025, a China se transformará em uma sociedade com uma população em declínio. A demografia mudará de um bônus demográfico para uma escassez de mão de obra (uma situação mais favorável do que trabalho).
A política do filho único levará ao rápido envelhecimento da população, com uma taxa de natalidade três vezes mais rápida do que no Japão.
Acho que foi no final da bolha econômica, por volta de 1990, que o Japão mudou de um “bônus para a população humana” para uma “população humana negativa.
Foi quase na mesma época que o globalismo aumentou em 1988.
Então a bolha estourou e o sistema financeiro começou a entrar em colapso.
Na China, vimos a quebra do mercado de ações de Xangai em 2015, certo?
Miyazaki
No entanto, isso foi por um motivo diferente.
Em 15 de agosto de 2015, houve uma grande explosão em Tianjin.
Watanabe
Sim, por alguma razão, agora estamos seguindo o exemplo do Japão.
Na segunda metade da década de 1980, o atrito comercial entre o Japão e os Estados Unidos era um problema, e os carros foram fechados e tarifas impostas. Depois do Bebble, os prêmios do Japão foram adicionados às taxas de juros dos bancos japoneses, prejudicando as empresas.
O mesmo está sendo feito com a China e, como a velocidade desse processo é três vezes maior que a do Japão, o caminho que levou 30 anos para o Japão será concluído em dez anos.
Podemos prever que isso acontecerá por volta de 2025.

Além das "distorções" visíveis, como a grande população de 1,4 bilhão de pessoas, a população está envelhecendo três vezes mais rápido do que no Japão, o sistema de seguridade social imaturo, a oferta monetária excessiva, a inadimplência freqüente de empresas estatais em seus títulos, e as grandes quedas de energia que ocorreram no final do ano passado, há outras tensões se acumulando na economia planejada, que não foram divulgadas. Além das "tribos" visíveis, também existem outras tribos invisíveis que se acumularam devido à economia planejada.
Normalmente, sempre há um platô em uma economia livre, e os ajustes são feitos antes que a economia cresça, mas não é o caso da economia chinesa.
Quando o mercado de ações despencou em Xangai, houve um breve ajuste, mas a economia planejada trapaceou ainda mais.
Agora, porém, as empresas estatais estão finalmente começando a falir.
Miyazaki
Acontece muito rápido. Tudo começou com a inadimplência em títulos corporativos e, em seguida, o Hengda Group (a maior empresa imobiliária da China) e a gigante do carvão Yongcheng Coal.
De qualquer forma, as empresas que não teriam que falir não têm seus efeitos.
Watanabe
Até o Grupo Ziguang o faz.
Miyazaki
O Grupo Ziguang fez isso há muito tempo. Grupo Fangzheng em Pequim.
Ziguang é afiliado à Universidade de Tsinghua, e Fangzheng é afiliado à Universidade de Pequim, então as empresas de alta tecnologia afiliadas às instituições acadêmicas mais importantes da China estão gritando para seu último suspiro.
Watanabe
Dessa forma, agora vemos um grande número de padrões.
É como a segunda onda da bolha que estourou no passado do Japão.
A falência de empresas estatais significa que é possível trapacear a moeda denominada em yuan, mas é impossível trapacear moedas estrangeiras.
O fato de muitas inadimplências em moeda estrangeira terem começado a ocorrer é um símbolo disso.
Miyazaki
Ele perderá crédito internacional. Não será fácil emprestar para empresas chinesas.
O prêmio da China agora não é de apenas 2%; é 8%.
No entanto, eles querem moeda estrangeira.
Watanabe
Fala-se que a recusa da China em importar carvão australiano não é na verdade uma sanção, mas sim uma restrição devido à escassez de divisas.
Não há apenas um conflito com a Austrália, mas também há falta de divisas para liquidação imediata.
Parece não haver fluxo de caixa que possa ser usado.
O ano novo chinês chega em 12 de fevereiro, e o que vai acontecer depois do ano novo é o tema da economia chinesa.
Miyazaki
O carvão da Austrália está sendo substituído pelo carvão da Indonésia e de outros países, e as exportações de madeira do Japão para a China estão se expandindo rapidamente devido à disputa entre a China e a Austrália.
Este artigo continua.


2021年3月18日13時の検索数ベスト10

2021年03月18日 13時00分50秒 | 全般

1

In, it is President Xi Jinping Speaking of whether anyone in the Politburo to the instruction.

2

この中国の体質が今回の隠蔽工作で世界中の人々にばれました。

3

If that crazy President Xi Jinping does something, people all over the world will suffer

4

The simple fact is that foreigners don't know why this is happening.

5

So who gives the orders to the Politburo? It is President Xi Jinping.

6

「隠蔽工作」になると国家衛生健康委員会も地方政府もCCTVもみんな一斉にそれに取りかかる

7

そしてCCTV、警察、病院に命令することのできる組織とは何かと言えば、共産党中央の政治局。

8

あの体制なら見事にできる。ここが問題の焦点です。

9

President Xi Jinping desires to spread poison and destroy humanity tomorrow; he can do it

10

There is another hidden theme in "Plague 2020": "What is the Chinese dictatorship?

 

 


2021年3月18日10時40分の検索数ベスト10

2021年03月18日 10時41分35秒 | 全般

1

2021年3月18日6時5分の検索数ベスト10

2

「隠蔽工作」になると国家衛生健康委員会も地方政府もCCTVもみんな一斉にそれに取りかかる

3

そしてCCTV、警察、病院に命令することのできる組織とは何かと言えば、共産党中央の政治局。

4

あの体制なら見事にできる。ここが問題の焦点です。

5

この中国の体質が今回の隠蔽工作で世界中の人々にばれました。

6

the top 50 searches for the past week

7

There is another hidden theme in "Plague 2020": "What is the Chinese dictatorship?

8

The simple fact is that foreigners don't know why this is happening.

9

その狂った習近平主席が何かをすれば、世界中の人々が被害を受けることになるということ

10

Det verkar inte finnas något kassaflöde som kan användas.

 


That regime can do it beautifully. This is the focus of the issue.

2021年03月18日 10時38分21秒 | 全般

The following is from a collection of conversations between Takamasa Kadota and Shi Ping published by Sankei Shimbun Publishing on February 11, 2021, under the title, China's Blitzkrieg Invasion 2021-2024.
It is the latest work by these two spirited critics who represent Japan today.
It is a must-read not only for the Japanese people but also for people around the world.
Every Japanese citizen who has China as a neighboring country should head to the nearest bookstore right now.
It is the world's highest-level elucidation of the truth about China as only they can.
I will let the people of the world know as much as I can.
p166-p176 
Police and TV Stations are the Same Thing
Shi Ping 
There is another hidden theme in "Plague 2020": "What is the Chinese dictatorship?
Japanese people often ask me this question. "You say that China is a one-party dictatorship of the Communist Party, but hasn't Japan always been a dictatorship of the Liberal Democratic Party? "
When I am asked this question, I feel so foolish that I lose interest. That's not what I meant at all.
For example, regarding China's cover-up, people in the West think, "If the government does a cover-up, the media will find out about it," or "Even if some powerful people do a cover-up, a general committee will transmit the facts.
But this is not the case.
As Kadota-san says in his book, when it comes to "cover-ups," the National Health and Sanitation Commission, the local government, and CCTV all go at it together.
The simple fact is that foreigners don't know why this is happening.
The bottom line is that CCTV also has a Communist Party committee, and the health committee also has a Communist Party committee. 
In China, there are Communist Party committees in institutions and organizations.
For example, in Dr. Li Wenliang of the Wuhan City Central Hospital, who was the first person to report a new type of pneumonia, the Public Security Bureau grabbed him. It made him write a letter of remorse. Still, CCTV reported the fact that he was remorseful.
Kadota 
It was reported on the same day he wrote the letter of remorse.
Shi Ping 
What does that mean?
In Japan, the police and, for example, Fuji TV are completely separate organizations, but they are the same thing in China.
Kadota 
Mr. Li Wenliang in Wuhan City was given a letter of caution, "All you have to do is sign it," and when he signed it, CCTV in faraway Beijing immediately reported it.
Shi Ping 
The Communist Party is in control of CCTV. The Communist Party also controls the police. In fact, the Communist Party also controls the hospitals.
Kadota 
There is a "Communist Party Discipline Inspection Committee" in the hospital, isn't there?
Smaller hospitals don't have such a committee, but Dr. Li Wenliang's hospital was a top-ranked hospital called "Third Class A" with more than 4,000 employees.
In other words, since it is a large hospital representing Wuhan, there is always a Discipline Inspection Committee.
Shi Ping 
The Discipline Inspection Committee is an organization of the Communist Party.
The organization can give orders to CCTV, police, and hospitals in the Politburo of the Central Committee of the Communist Party.
So who gives the orders to the Politburo? It is President Xi Jinping.
In, it is President Xi Jinping Speaking of whether anyone in the Politburo to the instruction.
This is the nature of China, and this cover-up has exposed it to the world.
People who knew about it but didn't know about it or were indifferent to it now know about it. 
To put it simply, the problem with China's nature is this. 
Let's say that President Xi Jinping suddenly lost his mind one day.
If that crazy President Xi Jinping does something, people all over the world will suffer.
For example, let's say President Xi Jinping desires to spread poison and destroy humanity tomorrow; he can do it.
That regime can do it beautifully. This is the focus of the issue.
This article continues. 
This article continues. 


President Xi Jinping desires to spread poison and destroy humanity tomorrow; he can do it

2021年03月18日 10時35分57秒 | 全般

The following is from a collection of conversations between Takamasa Kadota and Shi Ping published by Sankei Shimbun Publishing on February 11, 2021, under the title, China's Blitzkrieg Invasion 2021-2024.
It is the latest work by these two spirited critics who represent Japan today.
It is a must-read not only for the Japanese people but also for people around the world.
Every Japanese citizen who has China as a neighboring country should head to the nearest bookstore right now.
It is the world's highest-level elucidation of the truth about China as only they can.
I will let the people of the world know as much as I can.
p166-p176 
Police and TV Stations are the Same Thing
Shi Ping 
There is another hidden theme in "Plague 2020": "What is the Chinese dictatorship?
Japanese people often ask me this question. "You say that China is a one-party dictatorship of the Communist Party, but hasn't Japan always been a dictatorship of the Liberal Democratic Party? "
When I am asked this question, I feel so foolish that I lose interest. That's not what I meant at all.
For example, regarding China's cover-up, people in the West think, "If the government does a cover-up, the media will find out about it," or "Even if some powerful people do a cover-up, a general committee will transmit the facts.
But this is not the case.
As Kadota-san says in his book, when it comes to "cover-ups," the National Health and Sanitation Commission, the local government, and CCTV all go at it together.
The simple fact is that foreigners don't know why this is happening.
The bottom line is that CCTV also has a Communist Party committee, and the health committee also has a Communist Party committee. 
In China, there are Communist Party committees in institutions and organizations.
For example, in Dr. Li Wenliang of the Wuhan City Central Hospital, who was the first person to report a new type of pneumonia, the Public Security Bureau grabbed him. It made him write a letter of remorse. Still, CCTV reported the fact that he was remorseful.
Kadota 
It was reported on the same day he wrote the letter of remorse.
Shi Ping 
What does that mean?
In Japan, the police and, for example, Fuji TV are completely separate organizations, but they are the same thing in China.
Kadota 
Mr. Li Wenliang in Wuhan City was given a letter of caution, "All you have to do is sign it," and when he signed it, CCTV in faraway Beijing immediately reported it.
Shi Ping 
The Communist Party is in control of CCTV. The Communist Party also controls the police. In fact, the Communist Party also controls the hospitals.
Kadota 
There is a "Communist Party Discipline Inspection Committee" in the hospital, isn't there?
Smaller hospitals don't have such a committee, but Dr. Li Wenliang's hospital was a top-ranked hospital called "Third Class A" with more than 4,000 employees.
In other words, since it is a large hospital representing Wuhan, there is always a Discipline Inspection Committee.
Shi Ping 
The Discipline Inspection Committee is an organization of the Communist Party.
The organization can give orders to CCTV, police, and hospitals in the Politburo of the Central Committee of the Communist Party.
So who gives the orders to the Politburo? It is President Xi Jinping.
In, it is President Xi Jinping Speaking of whether anyone in the Politburo to the instruction.
This is the nature of China, and this cover-up has exposed it to the world.
People who knew about it but didn't know about it or were indifferent to it now know about it. 
To put it simply, the problem with China's nature is this. 
Let's say that President Xi Jinping suddenly lost his mind one day.
If that crazy President Xi Jinping does something, people all over the world will suffer.
For example, let's say President Xi Jinping desires to spread poison and destroy humanity tomorrow; he can do it.
That regime can do it beautifully. This is the focus of the issue.
This article continues. 
This article continues. 


If that crazy President Xi Jinping does something, people all over the world will suffer

2021年03月18日 10時34分14秒 | 全般

The following is from a collection of conversations between Takamasa Kadota and Shi Ping published by Sankei Shimbun Publishing on February 11, 2021, under the title, China's Blitzkrieg Invasion 2021-2024.
It is the latest work by these two spirited critics who represent Japan today.
It is a must-read not only for the Japanese people but also for people around the world.
Every Japanese citizen who has China as a neighboring country should head to the nearest bookstore right now.
It is the world's highest-level elucidation of the truth about China as only they can.
I will let the people of the world know as much as I can.
p166-p176 
Police and TV Stations are the Same Thing
Shi Ping 
There is another hidden theme in "Plague 2020": "What is the Chinese dictatorship?
Japanese people often ask me this question. "You say that China is a one-party dictatorship of the Communist Party, but hasn't Japan always been a dictatorship of the Liberal Democratic Party? "
When I am asked this question, I feel so foolish that I lose interest. That's not what I meant at all.
For example, regarding China's cover-up, people in the West think, "If the government does a cover-up, the media will find out about it," or "Even if some powerful people do a cover-up, a general committee will transmit the facts.
But this is not the case.
As Kadota-san says in his book, when it comes to "cover-ups," the National Health and Sanitation Commission, the local government, and CCTV all go at it together.
The simple fact is that foreigners don't know why this is happening.
The bottom line is that CCTV also has a Communist Party committee, and the health committee also has a Communist Party committee. 
In China, there are Communist Party committees in institutions and organizations.
For example, in Dr. Li Wenliang of the Wuhan City Central Hospital, who was the first person to report a new type of pneumonia, the Public Security Bureau grabbed him. It made him write a letter of remorse. Still, CCTV reported the fact that he was remorseful.
Kadota 
It was reported on the same day he wrote the letter of remorse.
Shi Ping 
What does that mean?
In Japan, the police and, for example, Fuji TV are completely separate organizations, but they are the same thing in China.
Kadota 
Mr. Li Wenliang in Wuhan City was given a letter of caution, "All you have to do is sign it," and when he signed it, CCTV in faraway Beijing immediately reported it.
Shi Ping 
The Communist Party is in control of CCTV. The Communist Party also controls the police. In fact, the Communist Party also controls the hospitals.
Kadota 
There is a "Communist Party Discipline Inspection Committee" in the hospital, isn't there?
Smaller hospitals don't have such a committee, but Dr. Li Wenliang's hospital was a top-ranked hospital called "Third Class A" with more than 4,000 employees.
In other words, since it is a large hospital representing Wuhan, there is always a Discipline Inspection Committee.
Shi Ping 
The Discipline Inspection Committee is an organization of the Communist Party.
The organization can give orders to CCTV, police, and hospitals in the Politburo of the Central Committee of the Communist Party.
So who gives the orders to the Politburo? It is President Xi Jinping.
In, it is President Xi Jinping Speaking of whether anyone in the Politburo to the instruction.
This is the nature of China, and this cover-up has exposed it to the world.
People who knew about it but didn't know about it or were indifferent to it now know about it. 
To put it simply, the problem with China's nature is this. 
Let's say that President Xi Jinping suddenly lost his mind one day.
If that crazy President Xi Jinping does something, people all over the world will suffer.
For example, let's say President Xi Jinping desires to spread poison and destroy humanity tomorrow; he can do it.
That regime can do it beautifully. This is the focus of the issue.
This article continues. 
This article continues. 


Let's say that President Xi Jinping suddenly lost his mind one day.

2021年03月18日 10時32分55秒 | 全般

The following is from a collection of conversations between Takamasa Kadota and Shi Ping published by Sankei Shimbun Publishing on February 11, 2021, under the title, China's Blitzkrieg Invasion 2021-2024.
It is the latest work by these two spirited critics who represent Japan today.
It is a must-read not only for the Japanese people but also for people around the world.
Every Japanese citizen who has China as a neighboring country should head to the nearest bookstore right now.
It is the world's highest-level elucidation of the truth about China as only they can.
I will let the people of the world know as much as I can.
p166-p176 
Police and TV Stations are the Same Thing
Shi Ping 
There is another hidden theme in "Plague 2020": "What is the Chinese dictatorship?
Japanese people often ask me this question. "You say that China is a one-party dictatorship of the Communist Party, but hasn't Japan always been a dictatorship of the Liberal Democratic Party? "
When I am asked this question, I feel so foolish that I lose interest. That's not what I meant at all.
For example, regarding China's cover-up, people in the West think, "If the government does a cover-up, the media will find out about it," or "Even if some powerful people do a cover-up, a general committee will transmit the facts.
But this is not the case.
As Kadota-san says in his book, when it comes to "cover-ups," the National Health and Sanitation Commission, the local government, and CCTV all go at it together.
The simple fact is that foreigners don't know why this is happening.
The bottom line is that CCTV also has a Communist Party committee, and the health committee also has a Communist Party committee. 
In China, there are Communist Party committees in institutions and organizations.
For example, in Dr. Li Wenliang of the Wuhan City Central Hospital, who was the first person to report a new type of pneumonia, the Public Security Bureau grabbed him. It made him write a letter of remorse. Still, CCTV reported the fact that he was remorseful.
Kadota 
It was reported on the same day he wrote the letter of remorse.
Shi Ping 
What does that mean?
In Japan, the police and, for example, Fuji TV are completely separate organizations, but they are the same thing in China.
Kadota 
Mr. Li Wenliang in Wuhan City was given a letter of caution, "All you have to do is sign it," and when he signed it, CCTV in faraway Beijing immediately reported it.
Shi Ping 
The Communist Party is in control of CCTV. The Communist Party also controls the police. In fact, the Communist Party also controls the hospitals.
Kadota 
There is a "Communist Party Discipline Inspection Committee" in the hospital, isn't there?
Smaller hospitals don't have such a committee, but Dr. Li Wenliang's hospital was a top-ranked hospital called "Third Class A" with more than 4,000 employees.
In other words, since it is a large hospital representing Wuhan, there is always a Discipline Inspection Committee.
Shi Ping 
The Discipline Inspection Committee is an organization of the Communist Party.
The organization can give orders to CCTV, police, and hospitals in the Politburo of the Central Committee of the Communist Party.
So who gives the orders to the Politburo? It is President Xi Jinping.
In, it is President Xi Jinping Speaking of whether anyone in the Politburo to the instruction.
This is the nature of China, and this cover-up has exposed it to the world.
People who knew about it but didn't know about it or were indifferent to it now know about it. 
To put it simply, the problem with China's nature is this. 
Let's say that President Xi Jinping suddenly lost his mind one day.
If that crazy President Xi Jinping does something, people all over the world will suffer.
For example, let's say President Xi Jinping desires to spread poison and destroy humanity tomorrow; he can do it.
That regime can do it beautifully. This is the focus of the issue.
This article continues. 
This article continues. 


People who knew about it but didn't know about it or were indifferent to it now know about it. 

2021年03月18日 10時30分15秒 | 全般

The following is from a collection of conversations between Takamasa Kadota and Shi Ping published by Sankei Shimbun Publishing on February 11, 2021, under the title, China's Blitzkrieg Invasion 2021-2024.
It is the latest work by these two spirited critics who represent Japan today.
It is a must-read not only for the Japanese people but also for people around the world.
Every Japanese citizen who has China as a neighboring country should head to the nearest bookstore right now.
It is the world's highest-level elucidation of the truth about China as only they can.
I will let the people of the world know as much as I can.
p166-p176 
Police and TV Stations are the Same Thing
Shi Ping 
There is another hidden theme in "Plague 2020": "What is the Chinese dictatorship?
Japanese people often ask me this question. "You say that China is a one-party dictatorship of the Communist Party, but hasn't Japan always been a dictatorship of the Liberal Democratic Party? "
When I am asked this question, I feel so foolish that I lose interest. That's not what I meant at all.
For example, regarding China's cover-up, people in the West think, "If the government does a cover-up, the media will find out about it," or "Even if some powerful people do a cover-up, a general committee will transmit the facts.
But this is not the case.
As Kadota-san says in his book, when it comes to "cover-ups," the National Health and Sanitation Commission, the local government, and CCTV all go at it together.
The simple fact is that foreigners don't know why this is happening.
The bottom line is that CCTV also has a Communist Party committee, and the health committee also has a Communist Party committee. 
In China, there are Communist Party committees in institutions and organizations.
For example, in Dr. Li Wenliang of the Wuhan City Central Hospital, who was the first person to report a new type of pneumonia, the Public Security Bureau grabbed him. It made him write a letter of remorse. Still, CCTV reported the fact that he was remorseful.
Kadota 
It was reported on the same day he wrote the letter of remorse.
Shi Ping 
What does that mean?
In Japan, the police and, for example, Fuji TV are completely separate organizations, but they are the same thing in China.
Kadota 
Mr. Li Wenliang in Wuhan City was given a letter of caution, "All you have to do is sign it," and when he signed it, CCTV in faraway Beijing immediately reported it.
Shi Ping 
The Communist Party is in control of CCTV. The Communist Party also controls the police. In fact, the Communist Party also controls the hospitals.
Kadota 
There is a "Communist Party Discipline Inspection Committee" in the hospital, isn't there?
Smaller hospitals don't have such a committee, but Dr. Li Wenliang's hospital was a top-ranked hospital called "Third Class A" with more than 4,000 employees.
In other words, since it is a large hospital representing Wuhan, there is always a Discipline Inspection Committee.
Shi Ping 
The Discipline Inspection Committee is an organization of the Communist Party.
The organization can give orders to CCTV, police, and hospitals in the Politburo of the Central Committee of the Communist Party.
So who gives the orders to the Politburo? It is President Xi Jinping.
In, it is President Xi Jinping Speaking of whether anyone in the Politburo to the instruction.
This is the nature of China, and this cover-up has exposed it to the world.
People who knew about it but didn't know about it or were indifferent to it now know about it. 
To put it simply, the problem with China's nature is this. 
Let's say that President Xi Jinping suddenly lost his mind one day.
If that crazy President Xi Jinping does something, people all over the world will suffer.
For example, let's say President Xi Jinping desires to spread poison and destroy humanity tomorrow; he can do it.
That regime can do it beautifully. This is the focus of the issue.
This article continues. 
This article continues. 


In, it is President Xi Jinping Speaking of whether anyone in the Politburo to the instruction.

2021年03月18日 10時28分48秒 | 全般

The following is from a collection of conversations between Takamasa Kadota and Shi Ping published by Sankei Shimbun Publishing on February 11, 2021, under the title, China's Blitzkrieg Invasion 2021-2024.
It is the latest work by these two spirited critics who represent Japan today.
It is a must-read not only for the Japanese people but also for people around the world.
Every Japanese citizen who has China as a neighboring country should head to the nearest bookstore right now.
It is the world's highest-level elucidation of the truth about China as only they can.
I will let the people of the world know as much as I can.
p166-p176 
Police and TV Stations are the Same Thing
Shi Ping 
There is another hidden theme in "Plague 2020": "What is the Chinese dictatorship?
Japanese people often ask me this question. "You say that China is a one-party dictatorship of the Communist Party, but hasn't Japan always been a dictatorship of the Liberal Democratic Party? "
When I am asked this question, I feel so foolish that I lose interest. That's not what I meant at all.
For example, regarding China's cover-up, people in the West think, "If the government does a cover-up, the media will find out about it," or "Even if some powerful people do a cover-up, a general committee will transmit the facts.
But this is not the case.
As Kadota-san says in his book, when it comes to "cover-ups," the National Health and Sanitation Commission, the local government, and CCTV all go at it together.
The simple fact is that foreigners don't know why this is happening.
The bottom line is that CCTV also has a Communist Party committee, and the health committee also has a Communist Party committee. 
In China, there are Communist Party committees in institutions and organizations.
For example, in Dr. Li Wenliang of the Wuhan City Central Hospital, who was the first person to report a new type of pneumonia, the Public Security Bureau grabbed him. It made him write a letter of remorse. Still, CCTV reported the fact that he was remorseful.
Kadota 
It was reported on the same day he wrote the letter of remorse.
Shi Ping 
What does that mean?
In Japan, the police and, for example, Fuji TV are completely separate organizations, but they are the same thing in China.
Kadota 
Mr. Li Wenliang in Wuhan City was given a letter of caution, "All you have to do is sign it," and when he signed it, CCTV in faraway Beijing immediately reported it.
Shi Ping 
The Communist Party is in control of CCTV. The Communist Party also controls the police. In fact, the Communist Party also controls the hospitals.
Kadota 
There is a "Communist Party Discipline Inspection Committee" in the hospital, isn't there?
Smaller hospitals don't have such a committee, but Dr. Li Wenliang's hospital was a top-ranked hospital called "Third Class A" with more than 4,000 employees.
In other words, since it is a large hospital representing Wuhan, there is always a Discipline Inspection Committee.
Shi Ping 
The Discipline Inspection Committee is an organization of the Communist Party.
The organization can give orders to CCTV, police, and hospitals in the Politburo of the Central Committee of the Communist Party.
So who gives the orders to the Politburo? It is President Xi Jinping.
In, it is President Xi Jinping Speaking of whether anyone in the Politburo to the instruction.
This is the nature of China, and this cover-up has exposed it to the world.
People who knew about it but didn't know about it or were indifferent to it now know about it. 
To put it simply, the problem with China's nature is this. 
Let's say that President Xi Jinping suddenly lost his mind one day.
If that crazy President Xi Jinping does something, people all over the world will suffer.
For example, let's say President Xi Jinping desires to spread poison and destroy humanity tomorrow; he can do it.
That regime can do it beautifully. This is the focus of the issue.
This article continues. 
This article continues. 


So who gives the orders to the Politburo? It is President Xi Jinping.

2021年03月18日 10時26分31秒 | 全般

The following is from a collection of conversations between Takamasa Kadota and Shi Ping published by Sankei Shimbun Publishing on February 11, 2021, under the title, China's Blitzkrieg Invasion 2021-2024.
It is the latest work by these two spirited critics who represent Japan today.
It is a must-read not only for the Japanese people but also for people around the world.
Every Japanese citizen who has China as a neighboring country should head to the nearest bookstore right now.
It is the world's highest-level elucidation of the truth about China as only they can.
I will let the people of the world know as much as I can.
p166-p176 
Police and TV Stations are the Same Thing
Shi Ping 
There is another hidden theme in "Plague 2020": "What is the Chinese dictatorship?
Japanese people often ask me this question. "You say that China is a one-party dictatorship of the Communist Party, but hasn't Japan always been a dictatorship of the Liberal Democratic Party? "
When I am asked this question, I feel so foolish that I lose interest. That's not what I meant at all.
For example, regarding China's cover-up, people in the West think, "If the government does a cover-up, the media will find out about it," or "Even if some powerful people do a cover-up, a general committee will transmit the facts.
But this is not the case.
As Kadota-san says in his book, when it comes to "cover-ups," the National Health and Sanitation Commission, the local government, and CCTV all go at it together.
The simple fact is that foreigners don't know why this is happening.
The bottom line is that CCTV also has a Communist Party committee, and the health committee also has a Communist Party committee. 
In China, there are Communist Party committees in institutions and organizations.
For example, in Dr. Li Wenliang of the Wuhan City Central Hospital, who was the first person to report a new type of pneumonia, the Public Security Bureau grabbed him. It made him write a letter of remorse. Still, CCTV reported the fact that he was remorseful.
Kadota 
It was reported on the same day he wrote the letter of remorse.
Shi Ping 
What does that mean?
In Japan, the police and, for example, Fuji TV are completely separate organizations, but they are the same thing in China.
Kadota 
Mr. Li Wenliang in Wuhan City was given a letter of caution, "All you have to do is sign it," and when he signed it, CCTV in faraway Beijing immediately reported it.
Shi Ping 
The Communist Party is in control of CCTV. The Communist Party also controls the police. In fact, the Communist Party also controls the hospitals.
Kadota 
There is a "Communist Party Discipline Inspection Committee" in the hospital, isn't there?
Smaller hospitals don't have such a committee, but Dr. Li Wenliang's hospital was a top-ranked hospital called "Third Class A" with more than 4,000 employees.
In other words, since it is a large hospital representing Wuhan, there is always a Discipline Inspection Committee.
Shi Ping 
The Discipline Inspection Committee is an organization of the Communist Party.
The organization can give orders to CCTV, police, and hospitals in the Politburo of the Central Committee of the Communist Party.
So who gives the orders to the Politburo? It is President Xi Jinping.
In, it is President Xi Jinping Speaking of whether anyone in the Politburo to the instruction.
This is the nature of China, and this cover-up has exposed it to the world.
People who knew about it but didn't know about it or were indifferent to it now know about it. 
To put it simply, the problem with China's nature is this. 
Let's say that President Xi Jinping suddenly lost his mind one day.
If that crazy President Xi Jinping does something, people all over the world will suffer.
For example, let's say President Xi Jinping desires to spread poison and destroy humanity tomorrow; he can do it.
That regime can do it beautifully. This is the focus of the issue.
This article continues. 
This article continues. 


It was reported on the same day he wrote the letter of remorse.

2021年03月18日 10時17分33秒 | 全般

The following is from a collection of conversations between Takamasa Kadota and Shi Ping published by Sankei Shimbun Publishing on February 11, 2021, under the title, China's Blitzkrieg Invasion 2021-2024.
It is the latest work by these two spirited critics who represent Japan today.
It is a must-read not only for the Japanese people but also for people around the world.
Every Japanese citizen who has China as a neighboring country should head to the nearest bookstore right now.
It is the world's highest-level elucidation of the truth about China as only they can.
I will let the people of the world know as much as I can.
p166-p176 
Police and TV Stations are the Same Thing
Shi Ping 
There is another hidden theme in "Plague 2020": "What is the Chinese dictatorship?
Japanese people often ask me this question. "You say that China is a one-party dictatorship of the Communist Party, but hasn't Japan always been a dictatorship of the Liberal Democratic Party? "
When I am asked this question, I feel so foolish that I lose interest. That's not what I meant at all.
For example, regarding China's cover-up, people in the West think, "If the government does a cover-up, the media will find out about it," or "Even if some powerful people do a cover-up, a general committee will transmit the facts.
But this is not the case.
As Kadota-san says in his book, when it comes to "cover-ups," the National Health and Sanitation Commission, the local government, and CCTV all go at it together.
The simple fact is that foreigners don't know why this is happening.
The bottom line is that CCTV also has a Communist Party committee, and the health committee also has a Communist Party committee. 
In China, there are Communist Party committees in institutions and organizations.
For example, in Dr. Li Wenliang of the Wuhan City Central Hospital, who was the first person to report a new type of pneumonia, the Public Security Bureau grabbed him. It made him write a letter of remorse. Still, CCTV reported the fact that he was remorseful.
Kadota 
It was reported on the same day he wrote the letter of remorse.
Shi Ping 
What does that mean?
In Japan, the police and, for example, Fuji TV are completely separate organizations, but they are the same thing in China.
Kadota 
Mr. Li Wenliang in Wuhan City was given a letter of caution, "All you have to do is sign it," and when he signed it, CCTV in faraway Beijing immediately reported it.
Shi Ping 
The Communist Party is in control of CCTV. The Communist Party also controls the police. In fact, the Communist Party also controls the hospitals.
Kadota 
There is a "Communist Party Discipline Inspection Committee" in the hospital, isn't there?
Smaller hospitals don't have such a committee, but Dr. Li Wenliang's hospital was a top-ranked hospital called "Third Class A" with more than 4,000 employees.
In other words, since it is a large hospital representing Wuhan, there is always a Discipline Inspection Committee.
Shi Ping 
The Discipline Inspection Committee is an organization of the Communist Party.
And the organization that can give orders to CCTV, police, and hospitals is the Politburo of the Central Committee of the Communist Party.
Then, who gives orders to the Politburo, President Xi Jinping? 
This is the nature of China, and this cover-up has exposed it to the world.
People who knew about it but didn't know about it or were indifferent to it now know about it. 
To put it simply, the problem with China's nature is this. 
Let's say that President Xi Jinping suddenly lost his mind one day.
If that crazy President Xi Jinping does something, people all over the world will suffer.
For example, let's say President Xi Jinping desires to spread poison and destroy humanity tomorrow; he can do it.
That regime can do it beautifully. This is the focus of the issue.
This article continues. 


Kullanılabilecek nakit akışı yok gibi görünüyor.

2021年03月18日 10時15分03秒 | 全般

Aşağıdakiler Masahiro Miyazaki ve Tetsuya Watanabe'nin kitabından, Civil War veya Communist Revolution'dan mı? Yaklaşan Amerikan kabusu.
p99-p125
Çin ekonomisi risk altında
Miyazaki
Pek çok düşünür Çin'in 2035'te ABD'yi geçeceğini tahmin ediyor.
Örneğin Nomura Securities, Çin'in 2027'de ABD'yi geçeceğini tahmin ediyor.
Nomura Securities, başından beri Çin pazarında.
Bizim bakış açımıza göre bu tahminler bir şaka gibi geliyor.
Çin'in nüfusu aslında ABD'ninkinden beş kat daha fazla, bu nedenle Çin'in GSYİH'sinin ABD'yi geçme olasılığı var, ancak bu Çin'in ABD'yi geçeceği anlamına gelmiyor.
Ancak Çin'in ABD'yi geçeceğini söylemek çok tek taraflı.
Doğru rakamı elde etmek ve gerçekliği ölçmek için kişi başına düşen GSYİH'yi veya yaşam kalitesini bölmemiz gerekiyor.
Japon medyasının sorunu, Çin'den bir tehdit veya patlayıcı bir güç olarak bahsetmeleri ve kişi başına GSYİH ve gerçek GSYİH gibi şeyleri tamamen görmezden gelmeleridir.
Watanabe
Öncelikle Çin bir piramit yapısıdır.
Çin Komünist Partisi'nin 92 milyon üyesinin, ailelerinin ve şehirlerde yaşayan zengin Çinlilerin sayısı yaklaşık 150 milyon ve Japonya'da yaşayan orta sınıf dahil Ekonomik İşbirliği ve Kalkınma Örgütü (OECD) yaklaşık 300 milyon. . Kalan 1,1 milyar insan, yapının sadece 'geri kalanı'.
1,4 milyarlık bir pazar düşünmek hata ve orta bir rakam bulmak kolay değil.
Çünkü Japonya gibi tam bir orta sınıfa sahip değiller.
Miyazaki
Doğru ama öte yandan yurt dışına seyahat edebilecek 300 milyon Çinli olduğu da doğru.
Öte yandan, yurt dışına seyahat edebilecek 300 milyon Çinli var.
Ve 1 milyardan fazla cep telefonu satılıyor.
Watanabe.
Bu büyük.
Ancak sonuçta, kalan 1,1 milyar insanın zararına gidiyor ve bu büyük bir sosyal hoşnutsuzluk kaynağı.
Başbakan Li Keqiang'ın Mayıs 2020'de düzenlediği basın toplantısında açıkladığı gibi, Çin'de aylık geliri 1.000 yuan (yaklaşık 15.000 yen) olan 600 milyon insan var.
Miyazaki
Hoşnutsuzluğun kaynağı nihayetinde kızgınlık olur ve kızgınlık magması patladığında, şimdiye kadar Çin tarihi olan bir devrim haline gelir.
Ancak bu durumda, devrimci duygu ancak kıtlık olduğunda ya da insanlar yarın yeterince yemek yiyemeyecek kadar fakir olduklarında ortaya çıkacaktır.
Ancak çiftçiler şimdilik sıranın sonunda yemek yiyebilirler. Askerler günde üç öğün yemek yiyebildikleri sürece Çin ordusunun darbe ümit edebileceğini sanmıyorum.
Watanabe
Xi Jinping'in kaplan avı geçmişte alkışlandı ve Xi Jinping'in sosyalizmini, komünizmini ve atalarının dönüşünü alkışlayanlar bu 1,1 milyar insan.
Örneğin, Alibaba'dan Jack Ma bir günah keçisi olduğunda, bütün yoksullar ona tezahürat yaptı.
Miyazaki
Bu doğru. Zenginlere karşı çok kızgınlık var.
Dünyada suçun nedeni yemek, para ve kadındır.
Watanabe
Bu açıdan bakıldığında, belli bir miktardaki zengin insanı tasfiye etmek ve orta sınıfı küçültmek Çin Komünist Partisinin kaderidir.
Aksi takdirde ev kaynakları tükenecek.
Orta sınıfı azaltırsak, kaynak israfını durdurabiliriz. Birincisi, dünyada 1,4 milyar insanı zenginleştirmek için yeterli kaynak yok.
Onu terk etme ve devam etme zamanı.
2025 yılına kadar Çin, nüfusu azalan bir topluma dönüşecek. Demografik, demografik bir ikramiyeden işgücü sıkıntısına (işten daha destekleyici bir durum) değişecektir.
Tek çocuk politikası, Japonya'dakinden üç kat daha hızlı doğum oranıyla nüfusun hızla yaşlanmasına yol açacak.
Sanırım 1990'larda, balon ekonomisinin sonunda, Japonya bir “insan nüfusu bonusu” ndan “insan nüfusu negatife dönüştü.
1988'de küreselleşmenin artmasıyla hemen hemen aynı zamandı.
Sonra balon patladı ve ardından finansal sistem çökmeye başladı.
Çin'de, 2015 yılında Şangay borsasının çöküşünü gördük, değil mi?
Miyazaki
Ancak bu farklı bir nedenden dolayı oldu.
15 Ağustos 2015'te Tianjin'de büyük bir patlama oldu.
Watanabe
Evet, her ne sebeple olursa olsun, şimdi Japonya'nın izinden gidiyoruz.
1980'lerin ikinci yarısında, Japonya ile ABD arasındaki ticaret sürtüşmesi bir sorundu ve arabalar kapatıldı ve gümrük vergileri uygulandı. Bebble'dan sonra, Japonya'nın primleri Japon banka faiz oranlarına eklenerek şirketlere zarar verdi.
Aynısı Çin'e de yapılıyor ve bu sürecin Japonya'nınkinden üç kat daha hızlı olduğu göz önüne alındığında, Japonya'nın 30 yıl süren yolunun on yıl içinde tamamlanacak.
Bunun 2025 civarında olacağını tahmin edebiliriz.

1,4 milyarlık büyük nüfus gibi gözle görülür "çarpıklıklara" ek olarak, nüfus Japonya'dakinden üç kat daha hızlı yaşlanıyor, olgunlaşmamış sosyal güvenlik sistemi, aşırı para arzı, devlete ait işletmelerin menkul kıymetleri ve geçen yılın sonlarında meydana gelen büyük elektrik kesintileri, planlı ekonomide açıklanmayan başka gerilimler oluşuyor. Görünür "kabilelere" ek olarak, planlı ekonomi nedeniyle birikmiş başka görünmeyen kabileler de var.
Normalde, serbest bir ekonomide her zaman bir plato vardır ve ekonomi yükselmeden ayarlamalar yapılır, ancak Çin ekonomisinde durum böyle değildir.
Şangay'da borsa çöktüğünde, kısa bir ayarlama yapıldı, ancak planlı ekonomi daha da hile yaptı.
Ancak şimdi, devlete ait işletmeler nihayet iflas etmeye başlıyor.
Miyazaki
Çok hızlı oluyor. Şirket tahvillerindeki temerrütlerle başladı ve ardından Hengda Group (Çin'deki en büyük emlak şirketi) ve kömür devi Yongcheng Coal.
Her iki durumda da, başarısız olması gerekmeyecek şirketlerin etkisi yoktur.
Watanabe
Ziguang Group bile öyle.
Miyazaki
Ziguang Group bunu uzun zaman önce yaptı. Pekin'deki Fangzheng Group.
Ziguang, Tsinghua Üniversitesi'ne bağlı ve Fangzheng, Pekin Üniversitesi'ne bağlı, bu nedenle Çin'in en yüksek akademik kurumlarına bağlı yüksek teknoloji işletmeleri son nefesleri için çığlık atıyor.
Watanabe
Bu şekilde artık çok sayıda standart görüyoruz.
Japonya'nın geçmişinde patlayan balonun ikinci dalgası gibi.
Devlete ait işletmelerin iflası, yuan cinsinden parayı aldatmanın mümkün olduğu, ancak yabancı para birimlerini aldatmanın imkansız olduğu anlamına gelir.
Yabancı para cinsinden birçok temerrüdün gerçekleşmeye başlaması bunun bir simgesidir.
Miyazaki
Uluslararası krediyi kaybedecek. Çinli şirketlere borç vermek kolay olmayacak.
Çin primi artık sadece% 2 değil; % 8'dir.
Yine de döviz istiyorlar.
Watanabe
Çin'in Avustralya kömürünü ithal etmeyi reddetmesinin aslında bir yaptırım değil, daha çok döviz kıtlığı nedeniyle bir kısıtlama olduğu konuşuluyor.
Sadece Avustralya ile bir çatışma değil, aynı zamanda acil çözüm için döviz eksikliği de var.
Kullanılabilecek nakit akışı yok gibi görünüyor.
Çin Yeni Yılı 12 Şubat'ta başlıyor ve yeni yıldan sonra olacaklar Çin ekonomisinin konusu.
Miyazaki
Avustralya'nın kömürünün yerini Endonezya ve diğer ülkelerden gelen kömür alıyor ve Japonya'nın Çin'e kereste ihracatı, Çin ile Avustralya arasındaki çekişme nedeniyle hızla artıyor.
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