2021年3月20日のブログ記事一覧-文明のターンテーブルThe Turntable of Civilization

More Than I Can Say

2021年03月20日 23時07分58秒 | 全般

More Than I Can Say

The following is from the serial column of Ms. Sakurai Yoshiko, who brings the weekly Shincho released yesterday to a successful conclusion.
This article also proves that she is a national treasure defined by Saicho and a supreme national treasure.
It is a must-read not only for the Japanese people but also for people worldwide.
Professor Kennedy: "U.S. Will Not Decline
On March 9, I had a trilogy discussion with Professor Paul Kennedy at an international seminar titled "Is the United States in Decline?　　
Professor Kennedy, who participated remotely from his home near Yale University in Connecticut in the eastern part of the U.S., quickly prepared and checked the audio.
We did the same, and both of us were ready well ahead of schedule.　
I introduced myself and asked, "If you don't mind, shall we begin?
Then, with a very cheerful expression on his face, he said, "Let's do it! Professor Kennedy replied.
When I hear Paul Kennedy's name, I immediately think of the two volumes of The Rise and Fall of Great Powers.
The book, which describes the rise and fall of great powers from 1500 to 2000, became an international bestseller.
I have in my possession the 1988 edition translated by Suzuki Chikara (Soshisha).
At the time, I contributed articles to Bungeishunju and Shokun!, but I was not yet a writer, and Professor Kennedy was a shining light.
The man was ready and willing to get started.　
Is the United States in decline?
Is it in decline, and will it continue to decline?
Is the decline relative or absolute?
There is nothing more urgent for Japan than these questions.　
After all, we cannot discuss Japan's security without the United States.
Whether we can stop the Chinese Communist Party's domination of the world is an important one that will determine the fate of Japan and the entire world.　
Professor Kennedy suggests that we first look back 500 years.
Five hundred years ago, China was the largest country in the world. After the 19th century, the world's major powers came to dominate the entire world. After the 19th century, the world's major powers came to dominate the entire world, and both Japan and the U.S. gained power in this new configuration.　
In the 20th century, World War I weakened Europe, and the United States and Japan gained power.
In the 20th century, World War I weakened Europe, and the U.S. and Japan gained strength. In World War II, the U.S. literally became a superpower, and Japan was defeated, losing millions of its people and falling to the level of the world's poorest country.
China is disappointed.　
After the war, Japan once again emerged as a world power, and the U.S. led the Soviet Union to collapse and became the only superpower. Still, now the whole world is trying to determine the reality of its power and its future.　
In the midst of this, China has been actively promoting the theory of the decline of the United States.
Former Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, known as a pro-China politician, points out that Xi Jinping's policy toward the United States has been consistent since he became president in 2013, and his basic philosophy is that the tide of history is in China's favor (Foreign Affairs, March-April 2009).　
China, which has already declared that it will surpass the United States and tower over the world in 2049, the centennial of its founding, is ahead of schedule in many ways on its path to becoming the world's most powerful nation Rudd said.
The modernization of the military, for example, will be completed in six more years, by 2015, eight years ahead of schedule, he said.
The reason for the huge acceleration is to gain an advantage over the U.S. in all aspects of its bid to take Taiwan.
Rudd writes that China is surprised that the U.S. reversal offensive is more limited than expected. China has set specific goals to break the U.S. dominance and is steadily implementing them one by one.　
When I asked Professor Kennedy what he thought about China's proliferation of theories about U.S. decline, he replied that the Chinese media has an unusual interest in writing about U.S. decline because they want to witness U.S. decline without going to war.
China's efforts to spread the theory of U.S. decline is probably part of their signature "three wars" (public opinion, psychological warfare, and legal warfare).
By creating the impression that the U.S. power is weakening, it may weaken confidence in the U.S., attract more countries to China, or even drive a wedge into the U.S. alliance.
It may be one way to make people think that China is more dependable than the US.　
After making the right point, Professor Kennedy asserted.
The decline of the United States is relative, not absolute. The U.S. may have to share its position with other rising powers, but it will remain strong. In that sense, China will be disappointed.　
China will not defeat the U.S., and its strength will come from its strong economy, Kennedy said.
He stresses that the United States can achieve remarkable economic growth and bring prosperity to the American people, which will restore confidence in the U.S. government, respect and deference to democracy, and contribute to the nation's stability as a whole.
The Path of Japan　
However, he predicted that the U.S. would have to cooperate with its allies to confront China and gave high marks to Prime Minister Shinzo Abe for his idea of a framework for cooperation among Japan, the U.S., Australia, and India.　
Looking back at history, there are similar cases. Before World War I, Germany built a lot of ships and had a large navy. The French, British, Russians, and others were very wary, which eventually led to World War I. The results are shown in history. History has shown us the result. Another similar example is the Soviet Union during the Cold War. They, too, built up their navy and expanded into the Mediterranean. In response, the U.S., Britain, France, Italy, and other countries cooperated closely to prevent the Soviet Union from engaging in aggressive activities.　　
The Japan-U.S.-Australia-India Quad, Britain's expressed willingness to join it, and even France and Germany's positive reaction to the Quad were all caused by China's aggressive offensive.
To paraphrase the historical example set by Professor Kennedy, it is the side that initiates the reckless friction that loses.
In other words, in the case of the ongoing crisis, the loser is China.
At the time of writing this article, on the 15th, the US Secretaries of State and Defense visited Japan for the Japan-US Security Consultative Committee (2+2).
The document released by the U.S. government on April 14, "Reaffirming the Solid Japan-U.S. Alliance," clearly states that "U.S. involvement in defense of Japan is absolute," "Article 5 of the Japan-U.S. Security Treaty applies to the Senkakus," and "Japan and the United States will cooperate in responding to China's challenges.　　　
There were fears that the Biden administration was a second Obama administration of appeasers against China.
However, the document's contents on the right, the realization of the "2+2" agreement, and Prime Minister Yoshihide Kan's arrival in Washington on the first day of the summit all refute such suspicions.
Professor Kennedy said that if Japan's economic relationship with China deteriorates, there will be an alternative, but if Japan's security relationship with the US deteriorates, there will be no alternative.　
I think he is right.
The trilogy made me think that Japan must realize major reforms, including the Constitution's revision, to survive as a decent nation in the great flow of history.

he gave high marks to Prime Minister Shinzo Abe for his idea of a framework

2021年03月20日 10時10分43秒 | 全般

China has been actively promoting the theory of the decline of the United States.

2021年03月20日 10時06分42秒 | 全般

The following is from the serial column of Ms. Sakurai Yoshiko, who brings the weekly Shincho released yesterday to a successful conclusion.
This article also proves that she is a national treasure defined by Saicho and a supreme national treasure.
It is a must-read not only for the Japanese people but also for people worldwide.
Professor Kennedy: "U.S. Will Not Decline
On March 9, I had a trilogy discussion with Professor Paul Kennedy at an international seminar titled "Is the United States in Decline?　　
Professor Kennedy, who participated remotely from his home near Yale University in Connecticut in the eastern part of the U.S., quickly prepared and checked the audio.
We did the same, and both of us were ready well ahead of schedule.　
I introduced myself and asked, "If you don't mind, shall we begin?
Then, with a very cheerful expression on his face, he said, "Let's do it! Professor Kennedy replied.
When I hear Paul Kennedy's name, I immediately think of the two volumes of The Rise and Fall of Great Powers.
The book, which describes the rise and fall of great powers from 1500 to 2000, became an international bestseller.
I have in my possession the 1988 edition translated by Suzuki Chikara (Soshisha).
At the time, I contributed articles to Bungeishunju and Shokun!, but I was not yet a writer, and Professor Kennedy was a shining light.
The man was ready and willing to get started.　
Is the United States in decline?
Is it in decline, and will it continue to decline?
Is the decline relative or absolute?
There is nothing more urgent for Japan than these questions.　
After all, we cannot discuss Japan's security without the United States.
Whether we can stop the Chinese Communist Party's domination of the world is an important one that will determine the fate of Japan and the entire world.　
Professor Kennedy suggests that we first look back 500 years.
Five hundred years ago, China was the largest country in the world. After the 19th century, the world's major powers came to dominate the entire world. After the 19th century, the world's major powers came to dominate the entire world, and both Japan and the U.S. gained power in this new configuration.　
In the 20th century, World War I weakened Europe, and the United States and Japan gained power.
In the 20th century, World War I weakened Europe, and the U.S. and Japan gained strength. In World War II, the U.S. literally became a superpower, and Japan was defeated, losing millions of its people and falling to the level of the world's poorest country.
China is disappointed.　
After the war, Japan once again emerged as a world power, and the U.S. led the Soviet Union to collapse and became the only superpower. Still, now the whole world is trying to determine the reality of its power and its future.　
In the midst of this, China has been actively promoting the theory of the decline of the United States.
Former Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, known as a pro-China politician, points out that Xi Jinping's policy toward the United States has been consistent since he became president in 2013, and his basic philosophy is that the tide of history is in China's favor (Foreign Affairs, March-April 2009).　
China, which has already declared that it will surpass the United States and tower over the world in 2049, the centennial of its founding, is ahead of schedule in many ways on its path to becoming the world's most powerful nation Rudd said.
The modernization of the military, for example, will be completed in six more years, by 2015, eight years ahead of schedule, he said.
The reason for the huge acceleration is to gain an advantage over the U.S. in all aspects of its bid to take Taiwan.
Rudd writes that China is surprised that the U.S. reversal offensive is more limited than expected. China has set specific goals to break the U.S. dominance and is steadily implementing them one by one.　
When I asked Professor Kennedy what he thought about China's proliferation of theories about U.S. decline, he replied that the Chinese media has an unusual interest in writing about U.S. decline because they want to witness U.S. decline without going to war.
China's efforts to spread the theory of U.S. decline is probably part of their signature "three wars" (public opinion, psychological warfare, and legal warfare).
By creating the impression that the U.S. power is weakening, it may weaken confidence in the U.S., attract more countries to China, or even drive a wedge into the U.S. alliance.
It may be one way to make people think that China is more dependable than the US.　
After making the right point, Professor Kennedy asserted.
The decline of the United States is relative, not absolute. The U.S. may have to share its position with other rising powers, but it will remain strong. In that sense, China will be disappointed.　
China will not defeat the U.S., and its strength will come from its strong economy, Kennedy said.
He stresses that the United States can achieve remarkable economic growth and bring prosperity to the American people, which will restore confidence in the U.S. government, respect and deference to democracy, and contribute to the nation's stability as a whole.
The Path of Japan　
However, he predicted that the U.S. would have to cooperate with its allies to confront China and gave high marks to Prime Minister Shinzo Abe for his idea of a framework for cooperation among Japan, the U.S., Australia, and India.　
Looking back at history, there are similar cases. Before World War I, Germany built a lot of ships and had a large navy. The French, British, Russians, and others were very wary, which eventually led to World War I. The results are shown in history. History has shown us the result. Another similar example is the Soviet Union during the Cold War. They, too, built up their navy and expanded into the Mediterranean. In response, the U.S., Britain, France, Italy, and other countries cooperated closely to prevent the Soviet Union from engaging in aggressive activities.　　
The Japan-U.S.-Australia-India Quad, Britain's expressed willingness to join it, and even France and Germany's positive reaction to the Quad were all caused by China's aggressive offensive.
To paraphrase the historical example set by Professor Kennedy, it is the side that initiates the reckless friction that loses.
In other words, in the case of the ongoing crisis, the loser is China.
At the time of writing this article, on the 15th, the US Secretaries of State and Defense visited Japan for the Japan-US Security Consultative Committee (2+2).
The document released by the U.S. government on April 14, "Reaffirming the Solid Japan-U.S. Alliance," clearly states that "U.S. involvement in defense of Japan is absolute," "Article 5 of the Japan-U.S. Security Treaty applies to the Senkakus," and "Japan and the United States will cooperate in responding to China's challenges.　　　
There were fears that the Biden administration was a second Obama administration of appeasers against China.
However, the document's contents on the right, the realization of the "2+2" agreement, and Prime Minister Yoshihide Kan's arrival in Washington on the first day of the summit all refute such suspicions.
Professor Kennedy said that if Japan's economic relationship with China deteriorates, there will be an alternative, but if Japan's security relationship with the US deteriorates, there will be no alternative.　
I think he is right.
The trilogy made me think that Japan must realize major reforms, including the Constitution's revision, to survive as a decent nation in the great flow of history.

Professor Kennedy suggests that we first look back 500 years.

2021年03月20日 10時03分04秒 | 全般

The following is from the serial column of Ms. Sakurai Yoshiko, who brings the weekly Shincho released yesterday to a successful conclusion.
This article also proves that she is a national treasure defined by Saicho and a supreme national treasure.
It is a must-read not only for the Japanese people but also for people worldwide.
Professor Kennedy: "U.S. Will Not Decline
On March 9, I had a trilogy discussion with Professor Paul Kennedy at an international seminar titled "Is the United States in Decline?　　
Professor Kennedy, who participated remotely from his home near Yale University in Connecticut in the eastern part of the U.S., quickly prepared and checked the audio.
We did the same, and both of us were ready well ahead of schedule.　
I introduced myself and asked, "If you don't mind, shall we begin?
Then, with a very cheerful expression on his face, he said, "Let's do it! Professor Kennedy replied.
When I hear Paul Kennedy's name, I immediately think of the two volumes of The Rise and Fall of Great Powers.
The book, which describes the rise and fall of great powers from 1500 to 2000, became an international bestseller.
I have in my possession the 1988 edition translated by Suzuki Chikara (Soshisha).
At the time, I contributed articles to Bungeishunju and Shokun!, but I was not yet a writer, and Professor Kennedy was a shining light.
The man was ready and willing to get started.　
Is the United States in decline?
Is it in decline, and will it continue to decline?
Is the decline relative or absolute?
There is nothing more urgent for Japan than these questions.　
After all, we cannot discuss Japan's security without the United States.
Whether we can stop the Chinese Communist Party's domination of the world is an important one that will determine the fate of Japan and the entire world.　
Professor Kennedy suggests that we first look back 500 years.
Five hundred years ago, China was the largest country in the world. After the 19th century, the world's major powers came to dominate the entire world. After the 19th century, the world's major powers came to dominate the entire world, and both Japan and the U.S. gained power in this new configuration.　
In the 20th century, World War I weakened Europe, and the United States and Japan gained power.
In the 20th century, World War I weakened Europe, and the U.S. and Japan gained strength. In World War II, the U.S. literally became a superpower, and Japan was defeated, losing millions of its people and falling to the level of the world's poorest country.
China is disappointed.　
After the war, Japan once again emerged as a world power, and the U.S. led the Soviet Union to collapse and became the only superpower. Still, now the whole world is trying to determine the reality of its power and its future.　
In the midst of this, China has been actively promoting the theory of the decline of the United States.
Former Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, known as a pro-China politician, points out that Xi Jinping's policy toward the United States has been consistent since he became president in 2013, and his basic philosophy is that the tide of history is in China's favor (Foreign Affairs, March-April 2009).　
China, which has already declared that it will surpass the United States and tower over the world in 2049, the centennial of its founding, is ahead of schedule in many ways on its path to becoming the world's most powerful nation Rudd said.
The modernization of the military, for example, will be completed in six more years, by 2015, eight years ahead of schedule, he said.
The reason for the huge acceleration is to gain an advantage over the U.S. in all aspects of its bid to take Taiwan.
Rudd writes that China is surprised that the U.S. reversal offensive is more limited than expected. China has set specific goals to break the U.S. dominance and is steadily implementing them one by one.　
When I asked Professor Kennedy what he thought about China's proliferation of theories about U.S. decline, he replied that the Chinese media has an unusual interest in writing about U.S. decline because they want to witness U.S. decline without going to war.
China's efforts to spread the theory of U.S. decline is probably part of their signature "three wars" (public opinion, psychological warfare, and legal warfare).
By creating the impression that the U.S. power is weakening, it may weaken confidence in the U.S., attract more countries to China, or even drive a wedge into the U.S. alliance.
It may be one way to make people think that China is more dependable than the US.　
After making the right point, Professor Kennedy asserted.
The decline of the United States is relative, not absolute. The U.S. may have to share its position with other rising powers, but it will remain strong. In that sense, China will be disappointed.　
China will not defeat the U.S., and its strength will come from its strong economy, Kennedy said.
He stresses that the United States can achieve remarkable economic growth and bring prosperity to the American people, which will restore confidence in the U.S. government, respect and deference to democracy, and contribute to the nation's stability as a whole.
The Path of Japan　
However, he predicted that the U.S. would have to cooperate with its allies to confront China and gave high marks to Prime Minister Shinzo Abe for his idea of a framework for cooperation among Japan, the U.S., Australia, and India.　
Looking back at history, there are similar cases. Before World War I, Germany built a lot of ships and had a large navy. The French, British, Russians, and others were very wary, which eventually led to World War I. The results are shown in history. History has shown us the result. Another similar example is the Soviet Union during the Cold War. They, too, built up their navy and expanded into the Mediterranean. In response, the U.S., Britain, France, Italy, and other countries cooperated closely to prevent the Soviet Union from engaging in aggressive activities.　　
The Japan-U.S.-Australia-India Quad, Britain's expressed willingness to join it, and even France and Germany's positive reaction to the Quad were all caused by China's aggressive offensive.
To paraphrase the historical example set by Professor Kennedy, it is the side that initiates the reckless friction that loses.
In other words, in the case of the ongoing crisis, the loser is China.
At the time of writing this article, on the 15th, the US Secretaries of State and Defense visited Japan for the Japan-US Security Consultative Committee (2+2).
The document released by the U.S. government on April 14, "Reaffirming the Solid Japan-U.S. Alliance," clearly states that "U.S. involvement in defense of Japan is absolute," "Article 5 of the Japan-U.S. Security Treaty applies to the Senkakus," and "Japan and the United States will cooperate in responding to China's challenges.　　　
There were fears that the Biden administration was a second Obama administration of appeasers against China.
However, the document's contents on the right, the realization of the "2+2" agreement, and Prime Minister Yoshihide Kan's arrival in Washington on the first day of the summit all refute such suspicions.
Professor Kennedy said that if Japan's economic relationship with China deteriorates, there will be an alternative, but if Japan's security relationship with the US deteriorates, there will be no alternative.　
I think he is right.
The trilogy made me think that Japan must realize major reforms, including the Constitution's revision, to survive as a decent nation in the great flow of history.

There is nothing more urgent for Japan than these questions.　

2021年03月20日 09時46分01秒 | 全般

The following is from the serial column of Ms. Sakurai Yoshiko, who brings the weekly Shincho released yesterday to a successful conclusion.
This article also proves that she is a national treasure defined by Saicho and a supreme national treasure.
It is a must-read not only for the Japanese people but also for people worldwide.
Professor Kennedy: "U.S. Will Not Decline
On March 9, I had a trilogy discussion with Professor Paul Kennedy at an international seminar titled "Is the United States in Decline?　　
Professor Kennedy, who participated remotely from his home near Yale University in Connecticut in the eastern part of the U.S., quickly prepared and checked the audio.
We did the same, and both of us were ready well ahead of schedule.　
I introduced myself and asked, "If you don't mind, shall we begin?
Then, with a very cheerful expression on his face, he said, "Let's do it! Professor Kennedy replied.
When I hear Paul Kennedy's name, I immediately think of the two volumes of The Rise and Fall of Great Powers.
The book, which describes the rise and fall of great powers from 1500 to 2000, became an international bestseller.
I have in my possession the 1988 edition translated by Suzuki Chikara (Soshisha).
At the time, I contributed articles to Bungeishunju and Shokun!, but I was not yet a writer, and Professor Kennedy was a shining light.
The man was ready and willing to get started.　
Is the United States in decline?
Is it in decline, and will it continue to decline?
Is the decline relative or absolute?
There is nothing more urgent for Japan than these questions.　
After all, we cannot discuss Japan's security without the United States.
Whether we can stop the Chinese Communist Party's domination of the world is an important one that will determine the fate of Japan and the entire world.　
Professor Kennedy suggests that we first look back 500 years.
Five hundred years ago, China was the largest country in the world. After the 19th century, the world's major powers came to dominate the entire world. After the 19th century, the world's major powers came to dominate the entire world, and both Japan and the U.S. gained power in this new configuration.　
In the 20th century, World War I weakened Europe, and the United States and Japan gained power.
In the 20th century, World War I weakened Europe, and the U.S. and Japan gained strength. In World War II, the U.S. literally became a superpower, and Japan was defeated, losing millions of its people and falling to the level of the world's poorest country.
China is disappointed.　
After the war, Japan once again emerged as a world power, and the U.S. led the Soviet Union to collapse and became the only superpower. Still, now the whole world is trying to determine the reality of its power and its future.　
In the midst of this, China has been actively promoting the theory of the decline of the United States.
Former Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, known as a pro-China politician, points out that Xi Jinping's policy toward the United States has been consistent since he became president in 2013, and his basic philosophy is that the tide of history is in China's favor (Foreign Affairs, March-April 2009).　
China, which has already declared that it will surpass the United States and tower over the world in 2049, the centennial of its founding, is ahead of schedule in many ways on its path to becoming the world's most powerful nation Rudd said.
The modernization of the military, for example, will be completed in six more years, by 2015, eight years ahead of schedule, he said.
The reason for the huge acceleration is to gain an advantage over the U.S. in all aspects of its bid to take Taiwan.
Rudd writes that China is surprised that the U.S. reversal offensive is more limited than expected. China has set specific goals to break the U.S. dominance and is steadily implementing them one by one.　
When I asked Professor Kennedy what he thought about China's proliferation of theories about U.S. decline, he replied that the Chinese media has an unusual interest in writing about U.S. decline because they want to witness U.S. decline without going to war.
China's efforts to spread the theory of U.S. decline is probably part of their signature "three wars" (public opinion, psychological warfare, and legal warfare).
By creating the impression that the U.S. power is weakening, it may weaken confidence in the U.S., attract more countries to China, or even drive a wedge into the U.S. alliance.
It may be one way to make people think that China is more dependable than the US.　
After making the right point, Professor Kennedy asserted.
The decline of the United States is relative, not absolute. The U.S. may have to share its position with other rising powers, but it will remain strong. In that sense, China will be disappointed.　
China will not defeat the U.S., and its strength will come from its strong economy, Kennedy said.
He stresses that the United States can achieve remarkable economic growth and bring prosperity to the American people, which will restore confidence in the U.S. government, respect and deference to democracy, and contribute to the nation's stability as a whole.
The Path of Japan　
However, he predicted that the U.S. would have to cooperate with its allies to confront China and gave high marks to Prime Minister Shinzo Abe for his idea of a framework for cooperation among Japan, the U.S., Australia, and India.　
Looking back at history, there are similar cases. Before World War I, Germany built a lot of ships and had a large navy. The French, British, Russians, and others were very wary, which eventually led to World War I. The results are shown in history. History has shown us the result. Another similar example is the Soviet Union during the Cold War. They, too, built up their navy and expanded into the Mediterranean. In response, the U.S., Britain, France, Italy, and other countries cooperated closely to prevent the Soviet Union from engaging in aggressive activities.　　
The Japan-U.S.-Australia-India Quad, Britain's expressed willingness to join it, and even France and Germany's positive reaction to the Quad were all caused by China's aggressive offensive.
To paraphrase the historical example set by Professor Kennedy, it is the side that initiates the reckless friction that loses.
In other words, in the case of the ongoing crisis, the loser is China.
At the time of writing this article, on the 15th, the US Secretaries of State and Defense visited Japan for the Japan-US Security Consultative Committee (2+2).
The document released by the U.S. government on April 14, "Reaffirming the Solid Japan-U.S. Alliance," clearly states that "U.S. involvement in defense of Japan is absolute," "Article 5 of the Japan-U.S. Security Treaty applies to the Senkakus," and "Japan and the United States will cooperate in responding to China's challenges.　　　
There were fears that the Biden administration was a second Obama administration of appeasers against China.
However, the document's contents on the right, the realization of the "2+2" agreement, and Prime Minister Yoshihide Kan's arrival in Washington on the first day of the summit all refute such suspicions.
Professor Kennedy said that if Japan's economic relationship with China deteriorates, there will be an alternative, but if Japan's security relationship with the US deteriorates, there will be no alternative.　
I think he is right.
The trilogy made me think that Japan must realize major reforms, including the Constitution's revision, to survive as a decent nation in the great flow of history.

2021年3月
日	月	火	水	木	金	土
	1	2	3	4	5	6
7	8	9	10	11	12	13
14	15	16	17	18	19	20
21	22	23	24	25	26	27
28	29	30	31

日本の時間、世界の時間。 The time of Japan, the time of the world

日本の時間、世界の時間。
The time of Japan, the time of the world