Candy Apple Red - Reina del Cid and Toni Lindgren
この人は朝鮮史研究のことを何も知らない…木村氏は「韓国研究の第一人者などではない…出版人がすでに知識人でない
攻撃の中心にいたのは共産党の女性議員…女性が主体的におこなっている行為を、女性性の搾取で差別だと決めつける
李在明とその支持勢力によって韓国はよりひどい状況に陥る危険性が高い…過激な反日発言
平井宏治氏が北尾氏の存在をWiLL増刊号で暴露。上海電力が浮上させた日本を売り叩く日本人の存在。許し難い
文明のターンテーブルThe Turntable of Civilizationの人気記事 2022/6/10
China is a more significant threat than global warming.
平井宏治氏が北尾氏の存在をWiLL増刊号で暴露。上海電力が浮上させた日本を売り叩く日本人の存在。許し難い
気候変動より脱炭素こそリスク…統計の使い方に誤りあり…あるべき統計がない奇妙…温暖化より中国こそ脅威
China is a more significant threat than global warming.
Strange that there are no statistics as there should be.
文明のターンテーブルThe Turntable of Civilizationの人気記事 2022/6/10
Top 50 serches for the past week 2022/ 6/10
It is a popular page yesterday on ameba 2022/6/10
Top 10 real-time searches 2022/6/9, 23:04
The following is from today's Sankei Shimbun's "Sound Arguments."
Taishi Sugiyama is one of the most righteous intellects in the world today.
A must-read not only for the Japanese people but for people worldwide.
Decarbonization, not climate change, is the risk.
It is the season of heavy rainfall again this year.
Whenever there is a disaster, the media is full of opinions about the climate crisis and the urgent need to decarbonize.
The use of statistics is misleading.
Many reports say that "disasters have increased five-fold in 50 years due to climate change.
The Tokyo Metropolitan Government's document "Accelerating Efforts Toward the Carbon Half" also cites this as the leading evidence of the "further worsening of the climate crisis.
The source of information is a report by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).
But a closer reading reveals that the five-fold increase is in the "number of reported disasters."
Herein lies the trick.
Disasters are recorded when houses, roads, and other structures are damaged.
Over the past 50 years, as the world has become more affluent and populous, more property has been at risk.
It has led to an increase in disasters.
In addition, government agencies have become better organized, and reports often come in from all over the world.
So it is not surprising that the number of reports has increased.
A similar trick is used in the Japanese environmental white paper, which shows a graph of the "amount of damage" caused by natural disasters and suggests that it has increased due to climate change. However, the reason for this increase is human economic activity, not the intensification of the weather itself.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), an advisory body to the United Nations, includes a chart showing the "amount of food lost due to disasters," which suggests that the loss has increased due to climate change.
But since food production has increased, it is not surprising that the amount of food lost has also increased.
Strange that there are no statistics as there should be.
If they want to say that disasters have become more severe "due to climate change," they should look at physical weather data, not indicators that are affected by increased economic activity.
There is nothing "cataclysmic" about it.
It was a problem before it said whether it was the effect of global warming.
Typhoons are classified as "strong" or more extraordinary when winds reach 33 meters or more, but this number has not increased.
No other indicators show that typhoons have become "more severe."
There are various indicators of heavy rainfall, but rainfall has not increased, or if it has, it has increased only slightly.
Since the amount of water vapor that the atmosphere can hold increases by about 7% per 1 degree Celsius rise in temperature, about one degree of global warming in the past may have increased rainfall by about 7%.
However, statistically, according to the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport, and Tourism, there was no tendency for the annual maximum rainfall during the planned flood period (3 days for the Tone River) in most of Japan's basins including the Tone and Tama rivers. It is shown.
Observed statistics on the environmental impact on ecosystems do not indicate a "climate crisis."
The number of polar bears in the Arctic, which is said to be extinct due to global warming, was about 10,000 around 1960, but now it exceeds 30,000 and is the largest in the history of observation.
The coral reef area of Australia's Great Barrier Reef, which was said to be devastated by global warming, is also the largest in recorded history.
Neither Japan's Environmental White Paper nor the more than 3,000-page IPCC Subcommittee II Environmental Impact Report released this past February do not illustrate the statistics of such observations.
It is odd since observational data, especially statistics, are indispensable for understanding the global environment.
The overwhelming majority of the data are the results of computer simulations.
But the global environment is highly complex.
It is inappropriate to rely solely on simulations based on uncertain assumptions, significantly simplifying reality.
A serious examination of observational statistics reveals no drastic increases in disasters or destruction of ecosystems "due to climate change."
It is not scientific to incite a sense of crisis with rhetoric without showing such data and to drive people to the extreme goal of zero CO2 emissions by 2050.
China is a more significant threat than global warming.
CO₂ concentration has increased about 1.5-fold to nearly 420 ppm since 1850, at the end of the Edo period.
The earth's temperature has risen by about 1 degree Celsius during this period.
Assuming that CO₂ is the cause of all global warming to date, another 1 degree Celsius rise will occur when the CO₂ concentration increases by another 1.5 times to 630 ppm.
However, based on the International Energy Agency's forecast, this would be around 2090, even if global warming countermeasures are not strengthened after 2019.
Since there has been no drastic increase in disasters despite a one-degree rise, it is hard to imagine that one more degree rise over the next 70 years will suddenly cause a catastrophe.
In the first place, half of the CO2 emitted by human beings every year is absorbed by the ocean and land, and if the emission is halved, the increase in the concentration in the atmosphere will stop, and the warming will almost stop.
The Framework Convention on Climate Change aimed to stabilize this concentration, but it moved the goalposts in international politics and set the unattainable goal of zero CO₂ emissions.
If we compare the risk of global warming with the risk of "countermeasures" for global warming, it cannot justify the extreme goal of zero CO2 in 2050.
Germany's Energie Wende (conversion) policy has failed spectacularly, leading to dependence on Russian gas and finally to the catastrophe of war in Ukraine.
If Japan continues to push for decarbonization, its manufacturing sector will collapse, leaving the nation weak and vulnerable and giving China an opening to take advantage.
Taishi Sugiyama is one of the most righteous intellects in the world today.
A must-read not only for the Japanese people but for people worldwide.
Decarbonization, not climate change, is the risk.
It is the season of heavy rainfall again this year.
Whenever there is a disaster, the media is full of opinions about the climate crisis and the urgent need to decarbonize.
The use of statistics is misleading.
Many reports say that "disasters have increased five-fold in 50 years due to climate change.
The Tokyo Metropolitan Government's document "Accelerating Efforts Toward the Carbon Half" also cites this as the leading evidence of the "further worsening of the climate crisis.
The source of information is a report by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).
But a closer reading reveals that the five-fold increase is in the "number of reported disasters."
Herein lies the trick.
Disasters are recorded when houses, roads, and other structures are damaged.
Over the past 50 years, as the world has become more affluent and populous, more property has been at risk.
It has led to an increase in disasters.
In addition, government agencies have become better organized, and reports often come in from all over the world.
So it is not surprising that the number of reports has increased.
A similar trick is used in the Japanese environmental white paper, which shows a graph of the "amount of damage" caused by natural disasters and suggests that it has increased due to climate change. However, the reason for this increase is human economic activity, not the intensification of the weather itself.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), an advisory body to the United Nations, includes a chart showing the "amount of food lost due to disasters," which suggests that the loss has increased due to climate change.
But since food production has increased, it is not surprising that the amount of food lost has also increased.
Strange that there are no statistics as there should be.
If they want to say that disasters have become more severe "due to climate change," they should look at physical weather data, not indicators that are affected by increased economic activity.
There is nothing "cataclysmic" about it.
It was a problem before it said whether it was the effect of global warming.
Typhoons are classified as "strong" or more extraordinary when winds reach 33 meters or more, but this number has not increased.
No other indicators show that typhoons have become "more severe."
There are various indicators of heavy rainfall, but rainfall has not increased, or if it has, it has increased only slightly.
Since the amount of water vapor that the atmosphere can hold increases by about 7% per 1 degree Celsius rise in temperature, about one degree of global warming in the past may have increased rainfall by about 7%.
However, statistically, according to the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport, and Tourism, there was no tendency for the annual maximum rainfall during the planned flood period (3 days for the Tone River) in most of Japan's basins including the Tone and Tama rivers. It is shown.
Observed statistics on the environmental impact on ecosystems do not indicate a "climate crisis."
The number of polar bears in the Arctic, which is said to be extinct due to global warming, was about 10,000 around 1960, but now it exceeds 30,000 and is the largest in the history of observation.
The coral reef area of Australia's Great Barrier Reef, which was said to be devastated by global warming, is also the largest in recorded history.
Neither Japan's Environmental White Paper nor the more than 3,000-page IPCC Subcommittee II Environmental Impact Report released this past February do not illustrate the statistics of such observations.
It is odd since observational data, especially statistics, are indispensable for understanding the global environment.
The overwhelming majority of the data are the results of computer simulations.
But the global environment is highly complex.
It is inappropriate to rely solely on simulations based on uncertain assumptions, significantly simplifying reality.
A serious examination of observational statistics reveals no drastic increases in disasters or destruction of ecosystems "due to climate change."
It is not scientific to incite a sense of crisis with rhetoric without showing such data and to drive people to the extreme goal of zero CO2 emissions by 2050.
China is a more significant threat than global warming.
CO₂ concentration has increased about 1.5-fold to nearly 420 ppm since 1850, at the end of the Edo period.
The earth's temperature has risen by about 1 degree Celsius during this period.
Assuming that CO₂ is the cause of all global warming to date, another 1 degree Celsius rise will occur when the CO₂ concentration increases by another 1.5 times to 630 ppm.
However, based on the International Energy Agency's forecast, this would be around 2090, even if global warming countermeasures are not strengthened after 2019.
Since there has been no drastic increase in disasters despite a one-degree rise, it is hard to imagine that one more degree rise over the next 70 years will suddenly cause a catastrophe.
In the first place, half of the CO2 emitted by human beings every year is absorbed by the ocean and land, and if the emission is halved, the increase in the concentration in the atmosphere will stop, and the warming will almost stop.
The Framework Convention on Climate Change aimed to stabilize this concentration, but it moved the goalposts in international politics and set the unattainable goal of zero CO₂ emissions.
If we compare the risk of global warming with the risk of "countermeasures" for global warming, it cannot justify the extreme goal of zero CO2 in 2050.
Germany's Energie Wende (conversion) policy has failed spectacularly, leading to dependence on Russian gas and finally to the catastrophe of war in Ukraine.
If Japan continues to push for decarbonization, its manufacturing sector will collapse, leaving the nation weak and vulnerable and giving China an opening to take advantage.
The following is from today's Sankei Shimbun's "Sound Arguments."
Taishi Sugiyama is one of the most righteous intellects in the world today.
A must-read not only for the Japanese people but for people worldwide.
Decarbonization, not climate change, is the risk.
It is the season of heavy rainfall again this year.
Whenever there is a disaster, the media is full of opinions about the climate crisis and the urgent need to decarbonize.
The use of statistics is misleading.
Many reports say that "disasters have increased five-fold in 50 years due to climate change.
The Tokyo Metropolitan Government's document "Accelerating Efforts Toward the Carbon Half" also cites this as the leading evidence of the "further worsening of the climate crisis.
The source of information is a report by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).
But a closer reading reveals that the five-fold increase is in the "number of reported disasters."
Herein lies the trick.
Disasters are recorded when houses, roads, and other structures are damaged.
Over the past 50 years, as the world has become more affluent and populous, more property has been at risk.
It has led to an increase in disasters.
In addition, government agencies have become better organized, and reports often come in from all over the world.
So it is not surprising that the number of reports has increased.
A similar trick is used in the Japanese environmental white paper, which shows a graph of the "amount of damage" caused by natural disasters and suggests that it has increased due to climate change. However, the reason for this increase is human economic activity, not the intensification of the weather itself.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), an advisory body to the United Nations, includes a chart showing the "amount of food lost due to disasters," which suggests that the loss has increased due to climate change.
But since food production has increased, it is not surprising that the amount of food lost has also increased.
Strange that there are no statistics as there should be.
If they want to say that disasters have become more severe "due to climate change," they should look at physical weather data, not indicators that are affected by increased economic activity.
There is nothing "cataclysmic" about it.
It was a problem before it said whether it was the effect of global warming.
Typhoons are classified as "strong" or more extraordinary when winds reach 33 meters or more, but this number has not increased.
No other indicators show that typhoons have become "more severe."
There are various indicators of heavy rainfall, but rainfall has not increased, or if it has, it has increased only slightly.
Since the amount of water vapor that the atmosphere can hold increases by about 7% per 1 degree Celsius rise in temperature, about one degree of global warming in the past may have increased rainfall by about 7%.
However, statistically, according to the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport, and Tourism, there was no tendency for the annual maximum rainfall during the planned flood period (3 days for the Tone River) in most of Japan's basins including the Tone and Tama rivers. It is shown.
Observed statistics on the environmental impact on ecosystems do not indicate a "climate crisis."
The number of polar bears in the Arctic, which is said to be extinct due to global warming, was about 10,000 around 1960, but now it exceeds 30,000 and is the largest in the history of observation.
The coral reef area of Australia's Great Barrier Reef, which was said to be devastated by global warming, is also the largest in recorded history.
Neither Japan's Environmental White Paper nor the more than 3,000-page IPCC Subcommittee II Environmental Impact Report released this past February do not illustrate the statistics of such observations.
It is odd since observational data, especially statistics, are indispensable for understanding the global environment.
The overwhelming majority of the data are the results of computer simulations.
But the global environment is highly complex.
It is inappropriate to rely solely on simulations based on uncertain assumptions, significantly simplifying reality.
A serious examination of observational statistics reveals no drastic increases in disasters or destruction of ecosystems "due to climate change."
It is not scientific to incite a sense of crisis with rhetoric without showing such data and to drive people to the extreme goal of zero CO2 emissions by 2050.
China is a more significant threat than global warming.
CO₂ concentration has increased about 1.5-fold to nearly 420 ppm since 1850, at the end of the Edo period.
The earth's temperature has risen by about 1 degree Celsius during this period.
Assuming that CO₂ is the cause of all global warming to date, another 1 degree Celsius rise will occur when the CO₂ concentration increases by another 1.5 times to 630 ppm.
However, based on the International Energy Agency's forecast, this would be around 2090, even if global warming countermeasures are not strengthened after 2019.
Since there has been no drastic increase in disasters despite a one-degree rise, it is hard to imagine that one more degree rise over the next 70 years will suddenly cause a catastrophe.
In the first place, half of the CO2 emitted by human beings every year is absorbed by the ocean and land, and if the emission is halved, the increase in the concentration in the atmosphere will stop, and the warming will almost stop.
The Framework Convention on Climate Change aimed to stabilize this concentration, but it moved the goalposts in international politics and set the unattainable goal of zero CO₂ emissions.
If we compare the risk of global warming with the risk of "countermeasures" for global warming, it cannot justify the extreme goal of zero CO2 in 2050.
Germany's Energie Wende (conversion) policy has failed spectacularly, leading to dependence on Russian gas and finally to the catastrophe of war in Ukraine.
If Japan continues to push for decarbonization, its manufacturing sector will collapse, leaving the nation weak and vulnerable and giving China an opening to take advantage.
Taishi Sugiyama is one of the most righteous intellects in the world today.
A must-read not only for the Japanese people but for people worldwide.
Decarbonization, not climate change, is the risk.
It is the season of heavy rainfall again this year.
Whenever there is a disaster, the media is full of opinions about the climate crisis and the urgent need to decarbonize.
The use of statistics is misleading.
Many reports say that "disasters have increased five-fold in 50 years due to climate change.
The Tokyo Metropolitan Government's document "Accelerating Efforts Toward the Carbon Half" also cites this as the leading evidence of the "further worsening of the climate crisis.
The source of information is a report by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).
But a closer reading reveals that the five-fold increase is in the "number of reported disasters."
Herein lies the trick.
Disasters are recorded when houses, roads, and other structures are damaged.
Over the past 50 years, as the world has become more affluent and populous, more property has been at risk.
It has led to an increase in disasters.
In addition, government agencies have become better organized, and reports often come in from all over the world.
So it is not surprising that the number of reports has increased.
A similar trick is used in the Japanese environmental white paper, which shows a graph of the "amount of damage" caused by natural disasters and suggests that it has increased due to climate change. However, the reason for this increase is human economic activity, not the intensification of the weather itself.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), an advisory body to the United Nations, includes a chart showing the "amount of food lost due to disasters," which suggests that the loss has increased due to climate change.
But since food production has increased, it is not surprising that the amount of food lost has also increased.
Strange that there are no statistics as there should be.
If they want to say that disasters have become more severe "due to climate change," they should look at physical weather data, not indicators that are affected by increased economic activity.
There is nothing "cataclysmic" about it.
It was a problem before it said whether it was the effect of global warming.
Typhoons are classified as "strong" or more extraordinary when winds reach 33 meters or more, but this number has not increased.
No other indicators show that typhoons have become "more severe."
There are various indicators of heavy rainfall, but rainfall has not increased, or if it has, it has increased only slightly.
Since the amount of water vapor that the atmosphere can hold increases by about 7% per 1 degree Celsius rise in temperature, about one degree of global warming in the past may have increased rainfall by about 7%.
However, statistically, according to the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport, and Tourism, there was no tendency for the annual maximum rainfall during the planned flood period (3 days for the Tone River) in most of Japan's basins including the Tone and Tama rivers. It is shown.
Observed statistics on the environmental impact on ecosystems do not indicate a "climate crisis."
The number of polar bears in the Arctic, which is said to be extinct due to global warming, was about 10,000 around 1960, but now it exceeds 30,000 and is the largest in the history of observation.
The coral reef area of Australia's Great Barrier Reef, which was said to be devastated by global warming, is also the largest in recorded history.
Neither Japan's Environmental White Paper nor the more than 3,000-page IPCC Subcommittee II Environmental Impact Report released this past February do not illustrate the statistics of such observations.
It is odd since observational data, especially statistics, are indispensable for understanding the global environment.
The overwhelming majority of the data are the results of computer simulations.
But the global environment is highly complex.
It is inappropriate to rely solely on simulations based on uncertain assumptions, significantly simplifying reality.
A serious examination of observational statistics reveals no drastic increases in disasters or destruction of ecosystems "due to climate change."
It is not scientific to incite a sense of crisis with rhetoric without showing such data and to drive people to the extreme goal of zero CO2 emissions by 2050.
China is a more significant threat than global warming.
CO₂ concentration has increased about 1.5-fold to nearly 420 ppm since 1850, at the end of the Edo period.
The earth's temperature has risen by about 1 degree Celsius during this period.
Assuming that CO₂ is the cause of all global warming to date, another 1 degree Celsius rise will occur when the CO₂ concentration increases by another 1.5 times to 630 ppm.
However, based on the International Energy Agency's forecast, this would be around 2090, even if global warming countermeasures are not strengthened after 2019.
Since there has been no drastic increase in disasters despite a one-degree rise, it is hard to imagine that one more degree rise over the next 70 years will suddenly cause a catastrophe.
In the first place, half of the CO2 emitted by human beings every year is absorbed by the ocean and land, and if the emission is halved, the increase in the concentration in the atmosphere will stop, and the warming will almost stop.
The Framework Convention on Climate Change aimed to stabilize this concentration, but it moved the goalposts in international politics and set the unattainable goal of zero CO₂ emissions.
If we compare the risk of global warming with the risk of "countermeasures" for global warming, it cannot justify the extreme goal of zero CO2 in 2050.
Germany's Energie Wende (conversion) policy has failed spectacularly, leading to dependence on Russian gas and finally to the catastrophe of war in Ukraine.
If Japan continues to push for decarbonization, its manufacturing sector will collapse, leaving the nation weak and vulnerable and giving China an opening to take advantage.
The following is from today's Sankei Shimbun's "Sound Arguments."
Taishi Sugiyama is one of the most righteous intellects in the world today.
A must-read not only for the Japanese people but for people worldwide.
Decarbonization, not climate change, is the risk.
It is the season of heavy rainfall again this year.
Whenever there is a disaster, the media is full of opinions about the climate crisis and the urgent need to decarbonize.
The use of statistics is misleading.
Many reports say that "disasters have increased five-fold in 50 years due to climate change.
The Tokyo Metropolitan Government's document "Accelerating Efforts Toward the Carbon Half" also cites this as the leading evidence of the "further worsening of the climate crisis.
The source of information is a report by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).
But a closer reading reveals that the five-fold increase is in the "number of reported disasters."
Herein lies the trick.
Disasters are recorded when houses, roads, and other structures are damaged.
Over the past 50 years, as the world has become more affluent and populous, more property has been at risk.
It has led to an increase in disasters.
In addition, government agencies have become better organized, and reports often come in from all over the world.
So it is not surprising that the number of reports has increased.
A similar trick is used in the Japanese environmental white paper, which shows a graph of the "amount of damage" caused by natural disasters and suggests that it has increased due to climate change. However, the reason for this increase is human economic activity, not the intensification of the weather itself.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), an advisory body to the United Nations, includes a chart showing the "amount of food lost due to disasters," which suggests that the loss has increased due to climate change.
But since food production has increased, it is not surprising that the amount of food lost has also increased.
Strange that there are no statistics as there should be.
If they want to say that disasters have become more severe "due to climate change," they should look at physical weather data, not indicators that are affected by increased economic activity.
There is nothing "cataclysmic" about it.
It was a problem before it said whether it was the effect of global warming.
Typhoons are classified as "strong" or more extraordinary when winds reach 33 meters or more, but this number has not increased.
No other indicators show that typhoons have become "more severe."
There are various indicators of heavy rainfall, but rainfall has not increased, or if it has, it has increased only slightly.
Since the amount of water vapor that the atmosphere can hold increases by about 7% per 1 degree Celsius rise in temperature, about one degree of global warming in the past may have increased rainfall by about 7%.
However, statistically, according to the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport, and Tourism, there was no tendency for the annual maximum rainfall during the planned flood period (3 days for the Tone River) in most of Japan's basins including the Tone and Tama rivers. It is shown.
Observed statistics on the environmental impact on ecosystems do not indicate a "climate crisis."
The number of polar bears in the Arctic, which is said to be extinct due to global warming, was about 10,000 around 1960, but now it exceeds 30,000 and is the largest in the history of observation.
The coral reef area of Australia's Great Barrier Reef, which was said to be devastated by global warming, is also the largest in recorded history.
Neither Japan's Environmental White Paper nor the more than 3,000-page IPCC Subcommittee II Environmental Impact Report released this past February do not illustrate the statistics of such observations.
It is odd since observational data, especially statistics, are indispensable for understanding the global environment.
The overwhelming majority of the data are the results of computer simulations.
But the global environment is highly complex.
It is inappropriate to rely solely on simulations based on uncertain assumptions, significantly simplifying reality.
A serious examination of observational statistics reveals no drastic increases in disasters or destruction of ecosystems "due to climate change."
It is not scientific to incite a sense of crisis with rhetoric without showing such data and to drive people to the extreme goal of zero CO2 emissions by 2050.
China is a more significant threat than global warming.
CO₂ concentration has increased about 1.5-fold to nearly 420 ppm since 1850, at the end of the Edo period.
The earth's temperature has risen by about 1 degree Celsius during this period.
Assuming that CO₂ is the cause of all global warming to date, another 1 degree Celsius rise will occur when the CO₂ concentration increases by another 1.5 times to 630 ppm.
However, based on the International Energy Agency's forecast, this would be around 2090, even if global warming countermeasures are not strengthened after 2019.
Since there has been no drastic increase in disasters despite a one-degree rise, it is hard to imagine that one more degree rise over the next 70 years will suddenly cause a catastrophe.
In the first place, half of the CO2 emitted by human beings every year is absorbed by the ocean and land, and if the emission is halved, the increase in the concentration in the atmosphere will stop, and the warming will almost stop.
The Framework Convention on Climate Change aimed to stabilize this concentration, but it moved the goalposts in international politics and set the unattainable goal of zero CO₂ emissions.
If we compare the risk of global warming with the risk of "countermeasures" for global warming, it cannot justify the extreme goal of zero CO2 in 2050.
Germany's Energie Wende (conversion) policy has failed spectacularly, leading to dependence on Russian gas and finally to the catastrophe of war in Ukraine.
If Japan continues to push for decarbonization, its manufacturing sector will collapse, leaving the nation weak and vulnerable and giving China an opening to take advantage.
Taishi Sugiyama is one of the most righteous intellects in the world today.
A must-read not only for the Japanese people but for people worldwide.
Decarbonization, not climate change, is the risk.
It is the season of heavy rainfall again this year.
Whenever there is a disaster, the media is full of opinions about the climate crisis and the urgent need to decarbonize.
The use of statistics is misleading.
Many reports say that "disasters have increased five-fold in 50 years due to climate change.
The Tokyo Metropolitan Government's document "Accelerating Efforts Toward the Carbon Half" also cites this as the leading evidence of the "further worsening of the climate crisis.
The source of information is a report by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).
But a closer reading reveals that the five-fold increase is in the "number of reported disasters."
Herein lies the trick.
Disasters are recorded when houses, roads, and other structures are damaged.
Over the past 50 years, as the world has become more affluent and populous, more property has been at risk.
It has led to an increase in disasters.
In addition, government agencies have become better organized, and reports often come in from all over the world.
So it is not surprising that the number of reports has increased.
A similar trick is used in the Japanese environmental white paper, which shows a graph of the "amount of damage" caused by natural disasters and suggests that it has increased due to climate change. However, the reason for this increase is human economic activity, not the intensification of the weather itself.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), an advisory body to the United Nations, includes a chart showing the "amount of food lost due to disasters," which suggests that the loss has increased due to climate change.
But since food production has increased, it is not surprising that the amount of food lost has also increased.
Strange that there are no statistics as there should be.
If they want to say that disasters have become more severe "due to climate change," they should look at physical weather data, not indicators that are affected by increased economic activity.
There is nothing "cataclysmic" about it.
It was a problem before it said whether it was the effect of global warming.
Typhoons are classified as "strong" or more extraordinary when winds reach 33 meters or more, but this number has not increased.
No other indicators show that typhoons have become "more severe."
There are various indicators of heavy rainfall, but rainfall has not increased, or if it has, it has increased only slightly.
Since the amount of water vapor that the atmosphere can hold increases by about 7% per 1 degree Celsius rise in temperature, about one degree of global warming in the past may have increased rainfall by about 7%.
However, statistically, according to the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport, and Tourism, there was no tendency for the annual maximum rainfall during the planned flood period (3 days for the Tone River) in most of Japan's basins including the Tone and Tama rivers. It is shown.
Observed statistics on the environmental impact on ecosystems do not indicate a "climate crisis."
The number of polar bears in the Arctic, which is said to be extinct due to global warming, was about 10,000 around 1960, but now it exceeds 30,000 and is the largest in the history of observation.
The coral reef area of Australia's Great Barrier Reef, which was said to be devastated by global warming, is also the largest in recorded history.
Neither Japan's Environmental White Paper nor the more than 3,000-page IPCC Subcommittee II Environmental Impact Report released this past February do not illustrate the statistics of such observations.
It is odd since observational data, especially statistics, are indispensable for understanding the global environment.
The overwhelming majority of the data are the results of computer simulations.
But the global environment is highly complex.
It is inappropriate to rely solely on simulations based on uncertain assumptions, significantly simplifying reality.
A serious examination of observational statistics reveals no drastic increases in disasters or destruction of ecosystems "due to climate change."
It is not scientific to incite a sense of crisis with rhetoric without showing such data and to drive people to the extreme goal of zero CO2 emissions by 2050.
China is a more significant threat than global warming.
CO₂ concentration has increased about 1.5-fold to nearly 420 ppm since 1850, at the end of the Edo period.
The earth's temperature has risen by about 1 degree Celsius during this period.
Assuming that CO₂ is the cause of all global warming to date, another 1 degree Celsius rise will occur when the CO₂ concentration increases by another 1.5 times to 630 ppm.
However, based on the International Energy Agency's forecast, this would be around 2090, even if global warming countermeasures are not strengthened after 2019.
Since there has been no drastic increase in disasters despite a one-degree rise, it is hard to imagine that one more degree rise over the next 70 years will suddenly cause a catastrophe.
In the first place, half of the CO2 emitted by human beings every year is absorbed by the ocean and land, and if the emission is halved, the increase in the concentration in the atmosphere will stop, and the warming will almost stop.
The Framework Convention on Climate Change aimed to stabilize this concentration, but it moved the goalposts in international politics and set the unattainable goal of zero CO₂ emissions.
If we compare the risk of global warming with the risk of "countermeasures" for global warming, it cannot justify the extreme goal of zero CO2 in 2050.
Germany's Energie Wende (conversion) policy has failed spectacularly, leading to dependence on Russian gas and finally to the catastrophe of war in Ukraine.
If Japan continues to push for decarbonization, its manufacturing sector will collapse, leaving the nation weak and vulnerable and giving China an opening to take advantage.
以下は今日の産経新聞の「正論」からである。
杉山大志は、今、世界で最も正しい知性を持った人間の一人である。
日本国民のみならず世界中の人達が必読。
気候変動より脱炭素こそリスク
今年も大雨の季節になった。
災害の度に気候危機だ、脱炭素が急務だ、とする意見がメディアに溢れるが、本当だろうか。
統計の使い方に誤りあり
「気候変動で災害が50年間で５倍になった」という報道を多く目にする。
東京都の資料「カーボンハーフに向けた取組の加速」でも「気候危機の一層の深刻化」の証拠の筆頭で取り上げている。
情報源は世界気象機関（ＷＭＯ）の報告書だ。
だがよく読むと５倍になったのは災害の「報告件数」である。
ここにトリックがある。
災害というのは、家屋や道路などが被害を受けたときに記録される。
過去50年間、世界がより豊かになり人口も増えるにつれ、より多くの財産が危険にさらされるようになった。
そのせいで災害も増えてきたのだ。
また行政機関が整備され世界各地から報告がよく上がるようになった。
だから報告件数が増大したのは当たり前だ。
似たようなトリックが日本の環境白書にあり、然災害による「損害金額」のグラフを見せ、気候変動のせいで増大したと示唆される。だがこれも増大した理由は人間の経済活動であって、気象自体が激甚化したわけではない。
国連の諮問機関であるＩＰＣＣ（気候変動に関する政府間パネル）の報告書にも「災害による食料の損失量」の図があり、気候変動のせいで損失が増大したとしている。
だが食料生産量が増えたのだから、損失量が増えたのも当たり前だ。
あるべき統計がない奇妙
「気候変動のせいで」災害が激甚化したと言いたいのであれば、経済活動の増大に影響される指標ではなく、物理的な気象観測データを調べるべきだ。
すると何一つ「激甚化」など起きていない。
温暖化による影響かどうかを云々する以前の問題だ。
台風は風速33メートル以上になると「強い」以上に分類されるが、この数は増えていない。
他のどの指標を見ても統計は台風の「激甚化」など示さない。
大雨にはさまざまな指標があるが、雨量は増えていないか、増えたとしても僅かだ。
大気が保持可能な水蒸気の量は１度気温が上昇すると約７％増えるので、過去約１度の地球温暖化によって雨量が７％程度増加した可能性はある。
だが統計的に検定してみると利根川多摩川を含め、日本の大半の流域では洪水に対する計画期間 （利根川ならば３日）の年最大雨量に増加傾向はなかったことが国土交通省の資料で示されている。 生態系への環境影響についても、観測の統計は「気候危機」など示していない。
地球温暖化で絶滅するといわれた北極のシロクマの頭数は、1960年ごろは１万頭程度だったが、今では３万頭を超えて観測史上最大になっている。
温暖化で壊滅的被害を受けるといわれたオーストラリアのグレートバリアリーフのサンゴ礁面積も観測史上最大になっている。
日本の環境白書も、この２月に発表された３千ページを超えるＩＰＣＣ第２部会の環境影響報告も、このような観測の統計を図示しない。
もとより地球環境の理解には、観測データ、就中（なかんづく）その統計こそが不可欠なのにこれは奇妙だ。
圧倒的に多いのはコンピューターによるシミュレーションの結果だ。
だが地球環境は極めて複雑だ。
大幅に現実を単純化した上に不確かな前提に基づくシミュレーションに専ら頼るのは不適切だ。
まともに観測の統計を調べると、「気候変動による」災害の激甚化とか生態系の破壊など皆無なことが分かる。
かかるデータを見せずにレトリックでひたすら危機感を煽り、2050年CO₂ゼロという極端な目標に人々を駆り立てるのは科学的でない。
温暖化より中国こそ脅威
CO₂濃度は江戸時代末の1850年頃に比べて約1.5倍の420ppm近くになった。
この間、地球の気温は約１度上がった。
仮にこれまでの温暖化の原因が全てCO₂とすると、あと1度上がるのはCO₂濃度がさらに1.5倍の630ppmになった時である。
だがこれは国際エネルギー機関の予測に基づけば、2019年以降に温暖化対策を強化しないとしても2090年ごろになる。
これまで１度の上昇があったのに災害の激甚化など観測されなかったのだから70年かけてあと１度の上昇で急に大惨事になるとは考えにくい。
そもそも人類が毎年排出するCO₂の半分は海洋や陸地に吸収され、排出を半分にすれば大気中の濃度上昇は止まり、温暖化も殆ど止まる。
気候変動枠組み条約はこの「濃度安定化」を目標にしていたが、国際政治の中でゴールポストが動かされ、CO₂ゼロという実現不可能な目標が掲げられた。
温暖化のリスクを温暖化「対策」のリスクと比較すると、2050年CO₂ゼロという極端な目標は全く正当化できない。
ドイツのエネルギーべンデ（転換）政策は大失敗し、ロシアヘのガス依存に陥り、遂にはウクライナでの戦争という破局を招いた。
日本もこのまま脱炭素に邁進すれば、製造業は崩壊し、国力が失われ脆弱になり、中国に乗じる隙を与えるだろう。
杉山大志は、今、世界で最も正しい知性を持った人間の一人である。
日本国民のみならず世界中の人達が必読。
気候変動より脱炭素こそリスク
今年も大雨の季節になった。
災害の度に気候危機だ、脱炭素が急務だ、とする意見がメディアに溢れるが、本当だろうか。
統計の使い方に誤りあり
「気候変動で災害が50年間で５倍になった」という報道を多く目にする。
東京都の資料「カーボンハーフに向けた取組の加速」でも「気候危機の一層の深刻化」の証拠の筆頭で取り上げている。
情報源は世界気象機関（ＷＭＯ）の報告書だ。
だがよく読むと５倍になったのは災害の「報告件数」である。
ここにトリックがある。
災害というのは、家屋や道路などが被害を受けたときに記録される。
過去50年間、世界がより豊かになり人口も増えるにつれ、より多くの財産が危険にさらされるようになった。
そのせいで災害も増えてきたのだ。
また行政機関が整備され世界各地から報告がよく上がるようになった。
だから報告件数が増大したのは当たり前だ。
似たようなトリックが日本の環境白書にあり、然災害による「損害金額」のグラフを見せ、気候変動のせいで増大したと示唆される。だがこれも増大した理由は人間の経済活動であって、気象自体が激甚化したわけではない。
国連の諮問機関であるＩＰＣＣ（気候変動に関する政府間パネル）の報告書にも「災害による食料の損失量」の図があり、気候変動のせいで損失が増大したとしている。
だが食料生産量が増えたのだから、損失量が増えたのも当たり前だ。
あるべき統計がない奇妙
「気候変動のせいで」災害が激甚化したと言いたいのであれば、経済活動の増大に影響される指標ではなく、物理的な気象観測データを調べるべきだ。
すると何一つ「激甚化」など起きていない。
温暖化による影響かどうかを云々する以前の問題だ。
台風は風速33メートル以上になると「強い」以上に分類されるが、この数は増えていない。
他のどの指標を見ても統計は台風の「激甚化」など示さない。
大雨にはさまざまな指標があるが、雨量は増えていないか、増えたとしても僅かだ。
大気が保持可能な水蒸気の量は１度気温が上昇すると約７％増えるので、過去約１度の地球温暖化によって雨量が７％程度増加した可能性はある。
だが統計的に検定してみると利根川多摩川を含め、日本の大半の流域では洪水に対する計画期間 （利根川ならば３日）の年最大雨量に増加傾向はなかったことが国土交通省の資料で示されている。 生態系への環境影響についても、観測の統計は「気候危機」など示していない。
地球温暖化で絶滅するといわれた北極のシロクマの頭数は、1960年ごろは１万頭程度だったが、今では３万頭を超えて観測史上最大になっている。
温暖化で壊滅的被害を受けるといわれたオーストラリアのグレートバリアリーフのサンゴ礁面積も観測史上最大になっている。
日本の環境白書も、この２月に発表された３千ページを超えるＩＰＣＣ第２部会の環境影響報告も、このような観測の統計を図示しない。
もとより地球環境の理解には、観測データ、就中（なかんづく）その統計こそが不可欠なのにこれは奇妙だ。
圧倒的に多いのはコンピューターによるシミュレーションの結果だ。
だが地球環境は極めて複雑だ。
大幅に現実を単純化した上に不確かな前提に基づくシミュレーションに専ら頼るのは不適切だ。
まともに観測の統計を調べると、「気候変動による」災害の激甚化とか生態系の破壊など皆無なことが分かる。
かかるデータを見せずにレトリックでひたすら危機感を煽り、2050年CO₂ゼロという極端な目標に人々を駆り立てるのは科学的でない。
温暖化より中国こそ脅威
CO₂濃度は江戸時代末の1850年頃に比べて約1.5倍の420ppm近くになった。
この間、地球の気温は約１度上がった。
仮にこれまでの温暖化の原因が全てCO₂とすると、あと1度上がるのはCO₂濃度がさらに1.5倍の630ppmになった時である。
だがこれは国際エネルギー機関の予測に基づけば、2019年以降に温暖化対策を強化しないとしても2090年ごろになる。
これまで１度の上昇があったのに災害の激甚化など観測されなかったのだから70年かけてあと１度の上昇で急に大惨事になるとは考えにくい。
そもそも人類が毎年排出するCO₂の半分は海洋や陸地に吸収され、排出を半分にすれば大気中の濃度上昇は止まり、温暖化も殆ど止まる。
気候変動枠組み条約はこの「濃度安定化」を目標にしていたが、国際政治の中でゴールポストが動かされ、CO₂ゼロという実現不可能な目標が掲げられた。
温暖化のリスクを温暖化「対策」のリスクと比較すると、2050年CO₂ゼロという極端な目標は全く正当化できない。
ドイツのエネルギーべンデ（転換）政策は大失敗し、ロシアヘのガス依存に陥り、遂にはウクライナでの戦争という破局を招いた。
日本もこのまま脱炭素に邁進すれば、製造業は崩壊し、国力が失われ脆弱になり、中国に乗じる隙を与えるだろう。
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#杉尾秀哉…オウム真理教を批判する坂本弁護士との取材映像を放送前にオウム幹部に見せた事で、数日後の坂本弁護士一家殺害事件の発端となった このクズは #exile だけじゃなくて、雑誌をソースにバカ質問
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The following is a rough draft.
Last night, I was thinking the following about Masayuki Takayama when I realized that today is the release date of the Shukan Shincho.
In the postwar world, no journalist has more A person of comprehensive knowledge and strong memory of history than him.
It is an obvious fact that is not confined to the journalist category.
I thought that the Nobel Peace Prize or the Nobel Prize in Literature should be awarded to him for his brilliant work.
This article continues.
The following is from his serial column that brings the weekly Shincho released today to a successful conclusion.
Everyone must be groaning.
This article also proves that he is the one and only journalist in the postwar world.
It also proves that my thoughts on him are correct.
Philippine President of Japanese descent
A policeman who did not get his severance pay angrily hijacked a moving tourist bus with a gun in his hand.
It happened in downtown Manila a long time ago.
Police surrounded the bus and negotiated for 10 hours to release the women and children among the tourists from Hong Kong.
When only 15 male passengers were on the bus, the police rushed in and shot and killed the perpetrators.
However, most of the hostages were also hit, killing eight and seriously wounding three.
It was clear from the circumstances that the police officers had sprayed bullets into the passengers and the shooters.
In the Philippines, Chinese who earn ruthlessly and look big are not well-liked.
The Hong Kong government tried to convince them that the hostages were Hong Kong people and not Chinese, but neither the Filipino onlookers nor the police force cared much about the difference.
So they shot them dead along with the criminals, which is an apparent hate crime.
How to excuse that?
The president of the time, Benigno Aquino III, was faced with a difficult decision.
The Aquino family is a prestigious one, and his great-grandfather was the right-hand man of General Aguinaldo, who had fought continuously against the United States, which had come to take the Philippines.
His grandfather, Benigno Aquino III, was also an ethnocentrist and served as Speaker of the National Assembly in the ethnocentric government that was created after the Japanese military drove out the U.S. troops.
Incidentally, there have been few ethnically pure presidents, and Quezon, the president during the U.S. occupation, was a genuine Spaniard.
After the war, MacArthur appointed Quirino, a genuine Chinese.
In celebration of his inauguration, he hanged three Japanese war criminals tied to a Muntinlupa.
He also demanded exorbitant compensation from Japan, and when Japan refused, he threatened them by hanging 14 war criminals in one night.
He was a Chinese man and arrogant to the people, so the Chinese town was often burned down.
The bad reputation of the Chinese cast a shadow over the Aquino family.
Benigno II married Corazon, a daughter of the Cojuangco family, which controlled the country's economy.
Benigno II intended to use the money to challenge the dictator Marcos, but he was assassinated at the Manila airport upon returning from the United States.
The assassination was too open to be the work of Marcos.
Nevertheless, the honest Filipinos sympathized with the Aquinos, Marcos was forced to flee the country, and Corazon, a Chinese, quickly took his place as president.
It can be seen as a story of overseas Chinese stealing that Cojuangco could do.
The influx of Chinese has increased since she took office and now "exceeds 3 million" (Katsuo Hiizumi, professor emeritus at Aichi Prefectural University).
In addition, the U.S. military bases at Clark Field and Subic Bay have been closed to suit Beijing's wishes.
The base economy disappeared, the people's poverty advanced, and only the Chinese grew fat.
Ten years later, soon after Corazon's son Benigno III became president, a misfortune happened on a tourist bus to Hong Kong people.
The people's thoughts are indeed honest.
So what did Benigno III do?
He took Beijing's intransigence in the Spratly Islands to an international tribunal, kept an eye on the tax evasion of the Chinese, and restored the face of the prestigious Aquino family.
Later Duterte moved closer to Beijing and distanced himself from the United States.
It is because he is a genuine local and hails from Leyte.
All the islanders were killed in the low that resisted the U.S. military during Aguinaldo's time.
The Duterte family is one of the few survivors, and their anti-Americanism is understandable.
And this time, the posthumous child of dictator Marcos and Lenny Robredo of overseas Chinese descent competed for the presidential seat, and Marcos Jr. won the race.
The Japanese newspapers are twisting their necks, wondering why the son of a dictator.
All they can think of is Imelda's 3,000 pairs of shoes.
They don't even know about the feud with the overseas Chinese.
Spaniards, Americans, and Chinese came to this land and trampled it.
But the people have learned their lesson, and now they hate the Chinese the most.
The choice this time is actually in the president's blood.
A quick search shows that his father is a "Filipino of Japanese descent."
He looks much better than Cojuangco.
Last night, I was thinking the following about Masayuki Takayama when I realized that today is the release date of the Shukan Shincho.
In the postwar world, no journalist has more A person of comprehensive knowledge and strong memory of history than him.
It is an obvious fact that is not confined to the journalist category.
I thought that the Nobel Peace Prize or the Nobel Prize in Literature should be awarded to him for his brilliant work.
This article continues.
The following is from his serial column that brings the weekly Shincho released today to a successful conclusion.
Everyone must be groaning.
This article also proves that he is the one and only journalist in the postwar world.
It also proves that my thoughts on him are correct.
Philippine President of Japanese descent
A policeman who did not get his severance pay angrily hijacked a moving tourist bus with a gun in his hand.
It happened in downtown Manila a long time ago.
Police surrounded the bus and negotiated for 10 hours to release the women and children among the tourists from Hong Kong.
When only 15 male passengers were on the bus, the police rushed in and shot and killed the perpetrators.
However, most of the hostages were also hit, killing eight and seriously wounding three.
It was clear from the circumstances that the police officers had sprayed bullets into the passengers and the shooters.
In the Philippines, Chinese who earn ruthlessly and look big are not well-liked.
The Hong Kong government tried to convince them that the hostages were Hong Kong people and not Chinese, but neither the Filipino onlookers nor the police force cared much about the difference.
So they shot them dead along with the criminals, which is an apparent hate crime.
How to excuse that?
The president of the time, Benigno Aquino III, was faced with a difficult decision.
The Aquino family is a prestigious one, and his great-grandfather was the right-hand man of General Aguinaldo, who had fought continuously against the United States, which had come to take the Philippines.
His grandfather, Benigno Aquino III, was also an ethnocentrist and served as Speaker of the National Assembly in the ethnocentric government that was created after the Japanese military drove out the U.S. troops.
Incidentally, there have been few ethnically pure presidents, and Quezon, the president during the U.S. occupation, was a genuine Spaniard.
After the war, MacArthur appointed Quirino, a genuine Chinese.
In celebration of his inauguration, he hanged three Japanese war criminals tied to a Muntinlupa.
He also demanded exorbitant compensation from Japan, and when Japan refused, he threatened them by hanging 14 war criminals in one night.
He was a Chinese man and arrogant to the people, so the Chinese town was often burned down.
The bad reputation of the Chinese cast a shadow over the Aquino family.
Benigno II married Corazon, a daughter of the Cojuangco family, which controlled the country's economy.
Benigno II intended to use the money to challenge the dictator Marcos, but he was assassinated at the Manila airport upon returning from the United States.
The assassination was too open to be the work of Marcos.
Nevertheless, the honest Filipinos sympathized with the Aquinos, Marcos was forced to flee the country, and Corazon, a Chinese, quickly took his place as president.
It can be seen as a story of overseas Chinese stealing that Cojuangco could do.
The influx of Chinese has increased since she took office and now "exceeds 3 million" (Katsuo Hiizumi, professor emeritus at Aichi Prefectural University).
In addition, the U.S. military bases at Clark Field and Subic Bay have been closed to suit Beijing's wishes.
The base economy disappeared, the people's poverty advanced, and only the Chinese grew fat.
Ten years later, soon after Corazon's son Benigno III became president, a misfortune happened on a tourist bus to Hong Kong people.
The people's thoughts are indeed honest.
So what did Benigno III do?
He took Beijing's intransigence in the Spratly Islands to an international tribunal, kept an eye on the tax evasion of the Chinese, and restored the face of the prestigious Aquino family.
Later Duterte moved closer to Beijing and distanced himself from the United States.
It is because he is a genuine local and hails from Leyte.
All the islanders were killed in the low that resisted the U.S. military during Aguinaldo's time.
The Duterte family is one of the few survivors, and their anti-Americanism is understandable.
And this time, the posthumous child of dictator Marcos and Lenny Robredo of overseas Chinese descent competed for the presidential seat, and Marcos Jr. won the race.
The Japanese newspapers are twisting their necks, wondering why the son of a dictator.
All they can think of is Imelda's 3,000 pairs of shoes.
They don't even know about the feud with the overseas Chinese.
Spaniards, Americans, and Chinese came to this land and trampled it.
But the people have learned their lesson, and now they hate the Chinese the most.
The choice this time is actually in the president's blood.
A quick search shows that his father is a "Filipino of Japanese descent."
He looks much better than Cojuangco.
