どっちがなろうと、誰がなろうと、どのみち米国との関係調整が最大の課題であるのは変わりない。超大国が隣にあると大変ですよね。いえまあ本邦も大国に囲まれているので難ですが。
BBC Migrants and drugs - why Mexico's election matters to the US 1 day ago
Marcos Martínez,
Pascal Fletcher
メキシコ初の女性大統領が確実。第一候補も第二位の候補もどっちも女性。まあその、女性元首だとか女性首相だとか珍しくないものになりましたから、どうだろうとかまやしないのはそうなんですが、メキシコですからねえ。その動向は結構、重大でしょうから。
「Mexico's upcoming presidential election has already attracted a lot of media attention due to the fact that it is expected to deliver the country’s first female head of state.
Opinion polls have given the frontrunner, Claudia Sheinbaum, and her main rival, Xóchitl Gálvez, such a large lead over their male rivals, that a female president looks like a foregone conclusion.」
どっちが勝とうが、どっちみち北に隣接する最大の貿易相手国との関係を扱わねばならぬことは同じである―と。なにしろ米国の当局は麻薬関係で非常に口うるさい。麻薬ヤクザ向けに暗殺部隊を入れるぞとまで言ってくるとか。そりゃあきっつい。
…しかし米国だってどうしようもない状態ですしね。治安悪化が著しい、その理由と言うより助長要素でしょうけど、麻薬が跋扈して人間を破壊していく。
…麻薬でダメになった人たちのぶんの生産力って、どうやって補うんでしょうね…。
…移民？ いやあ…それもどうか。
「But whoever wins this coming Sunday will have to deal with the sensitive relationship with the United States, which is not only Mexico’s northern neighbour but also its top commercial partner.
How to handle the Mexican drug cartels – largely blamed by US authorities for the deadly epidemic of fentanyl overdoses and deaths in the US – is not the only daunting issue for the Mexican presidential candidates.
The winner will also have to deal with the record flows through Mexico of US-bound foreign migrants that are a burning topic in the US’ own 2024 electoral race.」
しかしともあれ、共同のパートナーシップがあるべきであり、従属はあるべきではないというのはその通り。
「Ms Sheinbaum declared that there would be "no more submission in foreign policy", saying that centre-right predecessors of Mr López Obrador had allowed themselves to be "humiliated" by the US.
"Coordination yes, subordination no," she said, summarising her vision of relations with the US back in March.」
そのうえで米国との関係をどうとるか。ならず者国家と言うか、専制国家か抑圧国家か、まあ独裁国家たちと距離をどのくらいつくるか。野党候補はこの点、厳しめで、ベネズエラとか知らんぞそんなもん、という立場。しかしそうとも言いかねるんじゃないか、そこだろ移民問題の大問題の一つは。交渉しないことには…とは思われる。
「Opposition contender Xóchitl Gálvez has also pledged a “frank, direct and clear” relationship with the US, which she has recognised as "our most important market".」
「However, she added that "authoritarian governments like Venezuela, Russia, Cuba, [and] Nicaragua won't be coming to parade here", indicating that her government would be less friendly to such overtly anti-US leaders than the current Mexican government and its candidate, Claudia Sheinbaum.」
そろそろ結果が出ますかね？
BBC Migrants and drugs - why Mexico's election matters to the US 1 day ago
Marcos Martínez,
Pascal Fletcher
メキシコ初の女性大統領が確実。第一候補も第二位の候補もどっちも女性。まあその、女性元首だとか女性首相だとか珍しくないものになりましたから、どうだろうとかまやしないのはそうなんですが、メキシコですからねえ。その動向は結構、重大でしょうから。
「Mexico's upcoming presidential election has already attracted a lot of media attention due to the fact that it is expected to deliver the country’s first female head of state.
Opinion polls have given the frontrunner, Claudia Sheinbaum, and her main rival, Xóchitl Gálvez, such a large lead over their male rivals, that a female president looks like a foregone conclusion.」
どっちが勝とうが、どっちみち北に隣接する最大の貿易相手国との関係を扱わねばならぬことは同じである―と。なにしろ米国の当局は麻薬関係で非常に口うるさい。麻薬ヤクザ向けに暗殺部隊を入れるぞとまで言ってくるとか。そりゃあきっつい。
…しかし米国だってどうしようもない状態ですしね。治安悪化が著しい、その理由と言うより助長要素でしょうけど、麻薬が跋扈して人間を破壊していく。
…麻薬でダメになった人たちのぶんの生産力って、どうやって補うんでしょうね…。
…移民？ いやあ…それもどうか。
「But whoever wins this coming Sunday will have to deal with the sensitive relationship with the United States, which is not only Mexico’s northern neighbour but also its top commercial partner.
How to handle the Mexican drug cartels – largely blamed by US authorities for the deadly epidemic of fentanyl overdoses and deaths in the US – is not the only daunting issue for the Mexican presidential candidates.
The winner will also have to deal with the record flows through Mexico of US-bound foreign migrants that are a burning topic in the US’ own 2024 electoral race.」
しかしともあれ、共同のパートナーシップがあるべきであり、従属はあるべきではないというのはその通り。
「Ms Sheinbaum declared that there would be "no more submission in foreign policy", saying that centre-right predecessors of Mr López Obrador had allowed themselves to be "humiliated" by the US.
"Coordination yes, subordination no," she said, summarising her vision of relations with the US back in March.」
そのうえで米国との関係をどうとるか。ならず者国家と言うか、専制国家か抑圧国家か、まあ独裁国家たちと距離をどのくらいつくるか。野党候補はこの点、厳しめで、ベネズエラとか知らんぞそんなもん、という立場。しかしそうとも言いかねるんじゃないか、そこだろ移民問題の大問題の一つは。交渉しないことには…とは思われる。
「Opposition contender Xóchitl Gálvez has also pledged a “frank, direct and clear” relationship with the US, which she has recognised as "our most important market".」
「However, she added that "authoritarian governments like Venezuela, Russia, Cuba, [and] Nicaragua won't be coming to parade here", indicating that her government would be less friendly to such overtly anti-US leaders than the current Mexican government and its candidate, Claudia Sheinbaum.」
そろそろ結果が出ますかね？
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